Projection until 30/1/26 $BTC

The daily chart shows a flag consolidation pattern after the rejection at $96,000.

Current pattern: We are facing a Bollinger Bands Squeeze (volatility compression) in 4h and daily timeframes. Historically, this tightening precedes an expansive movement of between 8% and 12%.

Probable development: The price is seeking liquidity at the lower part of the channel. If it respects the dynamic support of the 100-day moving average ($85,500), the technical rebound towards the resistance of $90,000 is the most likely scenario before Wednesday.

Risk: A clear break below $84,000 would invalidate the bullish bias, opening the door to $80,000 (local minimum from November).

Turning point: The close on Friday will coincide exactly with the expiration of U.S. government funding (Shutdown), guaranteeing a "closing candle" with high volatility.