ANALYSIS OF $XRP
We are facing an asset that is losing value massively and consistently.
Here are the critical details:
1. Structural Lag (Averages and SAR)
Distance to 'Fair Price': The current value is very far from the weekly median. In weekly terms, the asset is extremely devalued.
EMA Cross: The Short EMA is below the Long EMA. This crossover on a weekly timeframe is very significant; it indicates that the bearish trend has been in effect for months and there are no signs of institutional fatigue.
SAR: The SAR is at the absolute peak, validating that the market is in "sell-off" mode.
2. Extreme Downward Force (ADX and MACD)
ADX: An ADX above 30 on a weekly chart is a red alert. It indicates a violent and well-established downward trend. It's not a pullback; it's a market regime shift.
MACD: The value is deeply negative. The most concerning is the Histogram, which continues to expand downward. This means that the speed of the decline is increasing rather than slowing down.
DIs: The -DI almost doubles the +DI, confirming that there is no buying interest from strong hands for now.
3. The Margin of Decline (Bollinger and Stochastic)
Lower Band: This is where the true technical "floor" is. Although the price seems low at 1.88, the bands suggest it still has room to fall to 1.54 before touching the weekly volatility limit.
Stochastic: It is approaching oversold, but since %K is below %D, there is still downward momentum.
Conclusion
The asset is in a "downward cascade."
Short term (this week): The target is the daily lower band at 1.8144.
Medium term: If the level of 1.81 does not hold (and with that weekly ADX of 32 it is likely it won't), the next major historical support is at 1.5465.
Precautions: Do not look for buys (longs) yet. The "bounce" you see in 4 hours is just a technical pause. The weekly force is so destructive that any attempt at recovery will likely be sold by institutions near the zone of 2.02 (weekly Short EMA).