Dear friends, a new week begins, and the market is holding its breath for a few "bombshells." The core focus for the week of January 28, 2026, is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the earnings reports of tech giants like Apple and Microsoft. Any slight movement in the traditional market could trigger a chain reaction in risk assets.
For the cryptocurrency market, the performance of $BTC is particularly critical. Over the past week, the price of Bitcoin fluctuated between $85,000 and $90,000, and its correlation with U.S. stocks (especially the Nasdaq index) has once again become a focal point.
My observation point:
Liquidity Expectations: Is the Fed's wording 'hawkish' or 'dovish'? Any hints about the interest rate cut path will directly affect global market liquidity expectations.
Risk Sentiment Benchmark: If tech stocks' earnings reports fall short of expectations leading to a pullback in U.S. stocks, will $BTC be seen as a risk asset that declines together or will it become a 'safe haven' choice? This is the core logic to be validated this week.
Suggested Actions:
Instead of guessing the direction, it's better to observe. You can immediately click on the $BTC tag to add it to your watchlist and open the 'BTC-USD' price chart. Focus on two key positions: first, the upper and lower bounds of the current consolidation range, and second, the support at last week's low. Observing the price reaction at these critical positions is more important than blindly predicting.
In the current macro context, do you think $BTC is more likely to play the role of a 'risk asset' or a 'safe haven asset' this week? Leave your judgments and reasoning in the comments.
