Bitcoin has been extremely volatile this week, fluctuating between 88,900 – 86,000. Let’s break down the main reasons and factors behind this movement:
1️⃣ Gold and Metals News 🪙
🔵 Recently, there has been strong liquidity pressure
🟢 Liquidity has shifted from the crypto market to gold and metals
🔵 This shift caused unusual market movements
🟢 As a result, Bitcoin dropped slightly but noticeably
2️⃣ U.S. News and Political Factors 🌍
🔵 Potential war with Iran
🟢 U.S. government shutdown
🔵 Statements by Donald Trump
🟢 U.S. economic data and results
🔵 Tariff announcements
🟢 Political tensions between Europe and the U.S.
🔵 Whenever Trump announced tariff increases:
🟢 We observed immediate market drops
🔵 This factor is somewhat negative for Bitcoin
3️⃣ ETFs and Liquidity 💼
🔵 Lack of strong liquidity inflows into ETFs
🟢 This includes BTC, Ethereum, and other crypto funds
🔵 U.S. news and political tension created pressure on investors
🟢 Preventing them from entering the funds
🔵 Therefore, in most recent days, we saw liquidity outflows
🟢 Everyone remembers the effect of ETFs before the rise to 124,000, and how the market behaved back then
4️⃣ Michael Saylor News 📰
🔵 News about Michael Saylor buying Bitcoin often spreads
🟢 The market expects a price increase after the news
🔵 But when the purchase is announced, Bitcoin often drops
🟢 The price Bitcoin drops from is not the same as the price Saylor bought at
🔵 Example: 
5️⃣ Miners ⛏️
🔵 Most Bitcoin miners hold their coins
🟢 Some wait for price increases before selling
🔵 Others sell right after mining
🟢 Reasons for selling often include electricity bills and operational costs
🔵 This behavior is normal
🟢 Especially since the next halving is far away (around 2 years and 10 months)
6️⃣ Technical Analysis 📊
🔵 Bitcoin dropped 6 times and rebounded 6 times
🟢 This confirms that economic news, gold, metals, and other factors had a very strong impact
🔵 However, despite this pressure, Bitcoin rebounded after every drop
🔵 A few days ago, I predicted that the movement would be: drop first, then rise
🟢 I expected the drop to be the first phase and the rise the second
🔵 This is what happened so far
🟢 Although with high volatility
🔵 I predicted a negative day with a slightly bearish close and a red candle
🟢 This occurred exactly as expected
🔵 Then a red candle appeared
🟢 Followed by sideways rebound and a 1D green daily close
Before: (initial drop on the same day)
After: (rebound on the same day)
7️⃣ Indicators I Use 🔧
🔵 RSI
🟢 Gann Fan (Trend Gann)
🔵 MACD
🟢 Volume
8️⃣ Top 3 Important Market Indicators 📌
USDT.D
🔵 Shows liquidity inflows or outflows
🟢 Rising = outflow / Falling = inflow
TOTAL
🔵 Shows overall liquidity movement across all crypto assets
🟢 Even Bitcoin is correlated with it
BTC
🔵 Bitcoin-specific indicator
🟢 Shows total market capitalization
🔵 Moves similar to Bitcoin price
🟢 But tracks market cap value
🔵 Very useful to monitor Bitcoin movements
These are the key points that will help you better understand Bitcoin’s price movements ✅
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