#FedWatch
There is something that repeats in every cycle…
and almost no one wants to face it 👀
Retail does not lose due to lack of information.
It loses due to emotional timing 🧠
Historical, verifiable data 📊
in the last cycles, rate cuts
did not mark the beginning of the bull market.
Many times they coincided with:
— maximum euphoria
— overflowing confidence
— and corrections that no one expected 📉
Why does this happen?
Because when the Fed finally cuts ✂️
the market has already anticipated months before ⏳
That is not narrative.
It’s in the charts.
In the cycles.
In history.
The problem is not technical.
It’s psychological ⚠️
The average human needs:
• confirmation
• permission
• headlines that make them feel safe 🗞️
And when that arrives…
the big movement
has already passed.
That’s why this uncomfortable pattern repeats 🔁
fear when there is opportunity
confidence when the risk has already risen
It’s not stupidity.
It’s biology applied to money.
The Fed does not make policy for you to win 💼
It does it for systemic stability,
even if the market bleeds.
And the market does not wait
for you to understand it.
While many ask
“Is it safe to enter now?” 🤔
others are already thinking
when to reduce exposure 🕰️
It’s not pessimism.
It’s reading behavior.
The market does not punish ignorance.
It punishes late reaction.
And that…
happens more often
than most admit. 🔍
$BTC
$USDC
