The Frenzy of Gold and Silver Has Never Been 'This Time is Different'
Content:
Recently, the news has been full of soaring gold and silver prices, and some have even begun to shout, 'Silver will return to 50 dollars.' But before you go all in, please take a moment to consider the lessons etched in stone by history.
1980: Oil crisis, rampant inflation, geopolitical explosions. The price of gold quadrupled in a year, and silver soared. People at the time also believed that 'a new order had arrived,' but what happened? In two months, the price of gold was halved, followed by a 20-year freeze.
2011: After the financial crisis, the world flooded with money. The price of gold surged to 1921, and silver again touched 50. The outcome was the same: gold retreated by 45%, silver fell by 70%, followed by years of slow decline.
This reveals a cruel physical law: in the precious metals market, logic is always correct, but timing is always brutal.
This time, the story seems to have changed: global central banks buying, de-dollarization, AI industrial demand. But what I see at its core is that the current gold price seems to be pricing in 'some severe turbulence after 2027' in advance.
Survival Guide for Ordinary People:
Don't gamble. Central banks buy gold for hedging, while you aim for wealth; different goals lead to a chaotic mindset. Gold typically retraces 30%+, while silver starts at 50%—this is the risk baseline set by history.
The market owes you no rise; it will only test your qualification to stay at the table with a bottomless retracement when you are most certain. $PAXG
