#WhoIsNextFedChair

The market is watching names.

Serious capital is watching signals.

That's where the difference begins. ⚠️

Since the end of 2024, not only the tone of the Federal Reserve has changed.

The behavior of institutional money has changed. 🐘

While the public debate revolves around who could occupy the chair,

the flows are already reacting to what kind of Fed is coming next. 🧭

Uncomfortable data:

– The Reverse Repo Facility has been draining steadily.

– The yield curve has stopped reacting to speeches

and started moving before meetings.

– The big banks adjusted duration and liquidity

without waiting for announcements. 🔇

That's not improvisation.

That's anticipatory reading. 🐘

Another little-commented detail:

The balance sheet reduction continues,

but at a pace that no longer tightens the same way. ⚠️

It's not a dovish turn.

It's preparation. 🧭

When big money moves like this,

it's not betting on a name.

It's discounting a more flexible monetary framework

in the medium term. 🐘

The consensus discusses policy.

Capital measures the cost of money, depth, and timing of liquidity. 🔇

That's where many get lost.

And where others are already sitting, waiting. 🧭

Because when the Fed chair is announced,

the real movement…

typically happens beforehand. ⚠️

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