2014

$BNB #贵金属巨震 Many are still arguing over whether the bull market has ended, or if a massive December bull run awaits after this major shakeout.
My take: As a seasoned crypto retail investor in China, I won’t give a definitive answer on whether it’s a bull or bear market. Because any certain call will backfire—and it wouldn’t be the first time. Now I’ve wised up: no more definitive claims, and bull or bear doesn’t even matter to me.
What if we shift our mindset? There’s a 50% chance that the bear market is here, and a 50% chance that a wild bull run is on the way. With only a 50% probability either way, why should we bet on it? Wouldn’t it be better to plan for the next four years instead? Let’s lengthen our investment horizon.
If it drops to $80,000—buy!
If it drops to $70,000—buy heavily!
If it drops to $60,000—put all your cash in!
If it drops to $50,000—sell your house and buy!
If it drops to $40,000—survive on one steamed bun a day and buy!
If it drops to $30,000—persuade wealthy women to invest in you and keep buying!
If it drops to $20,000—sell your underpants and buy!
If it drops to $10,000—let go of all earthly cares and retreat to a monastery!
Back to the point: We’ll only set our profit target at breaking the previous all-time high, which is $126,000. It’s not a 50% probability that we’ll hit it in four years—it’s a 100% certainty. Does this plan make you feel more relaxed? Do you still need to watch the charts like a hawk？