AN ATTACK ON IRAN THE NEXT "SURPRISE" THAT TRUMP HAS RESERVED FOR THE MARKETS

On February 1, 2026, it was reported that the American manager Lazard considers that a potential attack on Iran is the "most immediate geopolitical risk" for the financial markets. Its geopolitical advisory committee, composed of high-level experts, indicates that the probability of US intervention is very high, motivated by Trump's threats to the Iranian regime (both for the repression of protests and for the nuclear program) and the pressure from Israel, which will not allow the rebuilding of the Iranian military capabilities degraded in June 2025.

Iran is key to the energy market: it has the third-largest oil reserves and second-largest gas reserves in the world and borders the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of global oil and gas consumption passes. The possibility that Iran could mine the strait, making passage impossible for months, is a major concern.

Additionally, the committee notes that it is very likely that the US will attempt to depose the Cuban regime and considers that the issue of Greenland is resolved, ruling out a short-term solution in Ukraine - Russia and suspects that Russia could test NATO's Article 5 with the Baltic countries after a peace agreement, which is why Europe needs to advance in military independence.#USIranStandoff $BTC #ETH $TRUMP