Btc

#BTC何时反弹？
Recently, BTC has dipped to a low of 75709 USD, causing extreme panic in the market. However, from the perspective of macro cycles, institutional actions, and on-chain data, the underlying support for a rebound is gradually becoming apparent. The window for a short-term technical recovery and a medium-term trend reversal is accelerating. The current adjustment does not signify the end of the trend but rather the normal market washout in the institutional era. To grasp the rhythm, focus on the marginal changes of core variables.

In the short term, the market has the technical foundation for a rebound. The Fear & Greed index has fallen to 18, which is in the extreme panic zone, and the BTC RSI indicator has entered the oversold area. Additionally, around 76000 USD is the holding cost line for leading institutions like Strategy, providing dual support from both technical and capital perspectives. Previously, the market experienced a concentrated release of negative sentiment due to the Federal Reserve chair nomination and geopolitical conflicts, and the large-scale liquidation of 2.5 billion USD has released most of the leverage pressure. The short position power is nearing exhaustion, and capital is waiting to enter in the form of stablecoins, with a short-term oversold rebound imminent.