It’s been a while since I shared a broader macro view, so here’s a clean and realistic outlook without over-engineering the narrative.
From a structural perspective, Bitcoin has now printed three consecutive rejections in the mid-range, something we have not seen in previous cycles.
This loss of acceptance naturally opens the path for a move below the 0.25 trendline, not as a breakdown signal, but as a continuation of the current corrective phase.
Price action beneath the trendline is forming a rising wedge, and within this context, a rejection and push lower would be considered textbook behavior rather than a bearish anomaly.
Based on this structure, I’ve added a high-level projection that highlights where the market may seek equilibrium. Current macro support sits around the $60k region, which remains the most relevant structural level if downside pressure continues.
That said, one variable consistently working in favor of the larger trend is time. The longer price compresses and drifts without impulsive expansion, the higher both the eventual breakout level and the potential bottom tend to form.
Ideally, a pullback toward the $68k area aligning with the 200 EMA on the weekly would provide a technically healthy reset without damaging the broader bullish structure.
What makes this phase interesting is context. In past cycles, Bitcoin typically transitioned from support to resistance twice before resuming expansion.
This cycle marks the first instance of three mid-range rejections, suggesting that while a correction is still valid, its duration and depth may be more limited than many expect.
This is not a call for panic or euphoria. It’s a reminder that structure evolves, cycles adapt, and corrections are part of trend continuation not trend termination. The market is recalibrating, not collapsing.
How are you interpreting this macro phase for $BTC patience, defense, or quiet accumulation?
