Many focus only on day-to-day, but the key lies in the cycles.
2025 was a special year because we were in the final stage of the halving cycle. It wasn't just that prices rose in February; the market maintained a strong trend that even at the end of the year gave us very important impulses.
Look at the difference in levels:
- Bitcoin: Last year it hovered around $97,325, today it seeks support at $70k.
- Ethereum: From $2,788 to $2,126 today.
- Solana: From $148 last year to $91 currently.
- BNB: Continues to stand out, rising from $580 to $696.
- XRP ($1.39) and ADA ($0.27): Seeking stability at known levels.
How does a cycle really work?
The market does not rise by chance; it moves through stages of accumulation, rise, euphoria, and then correction.
1. The momentum of the Halving: Historically, the year after the halving (as it was in 2025) is when money flows most strongly. That's why we saw that, even at the end of last year, prices were trying to break ceilings. It's the stage where everyone wants to be inside.
2. The stage of Breathing: After a year of so much strength and constant rises, the market needs to rest. Cycles work like the seasons of the year: it cannot be "summer" (rise) all the time. Now we are in a phase where the market releases excess to clean the base.
3. The memory of the price: That's why today we see prices that repeat. The market returns to points where it felt safe before that final big push of 2025. It is verifying that the floor is firm before deciding its next move.
What I learn from this:
Understanding the cycles gives us the peace of mind we need. The market is not falling senselessly; it is completing its natural process after a very intense 2025.
For those of us who care for the future, the key is not to guess tomorrow's price, but to understand where we are in the cycle to make decisions wisely and not out of fear.
Do you also feel that the market is taking a necessary breath after everything we experienced at the end of last year? 🔍🧐
