🚀 Introducing a new Risk Assessment framework for Bitcoin investors! This data-driven model covers both short-term and long-term risk cycles, providing a robust tool for analyzing drawdown risk. 📊

Key components include:

1. Price Bubble: Monitoring deviation from long-term mean reversion baselines (MVRV Model and Mayer Multiple).

2. Supply Profitability: Assessing potential selling pressure using the Percent of Supply in Profit (PSIP) metric.

3. Fear and Greed: Quantifying risk with the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric.

4. Realized Profit and Loss: Analyzing spending patterns with the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio (RPLR).

5. Activity Risk Analysis: Assessing demand using metrics like Miners Fee Revenue Binary Indicator (MFR-BI) and Exchange Volume Momentum.

The framework also considers short-term and long-term holder behavior, analyzing unrealized and realized profit/loss for both cohorts. 🧠

By combining these indicators, investors can gain a comprehensive view of the market's risk landscape. 🌐

Remember, this report is for informational and educational purposes only. Always do your own research before making investment decisions! 📚