The probability of an interest rate cut in March has dropped to just 7%… What does this mean for the markets?
When the probability of an interest rate cut falls to 7%, it's not just a passing figure…
It's a clear message from the market:
No rate cut is imminent.
But why has pricing in the rate cut fallen so quickly?
Markets had been anticipating an early easing cycle, but recent economic data – both inflation and labor market strength – have completely changed the picture.
Inflation remains above target, and the economy hasn't shown a sharp slowdown that would force the central bank to act immediately.
In other words:
There isn't enough pressure to cut interest rates right now.
What does this mean in practical terms?
1. The dollar remains relatively supported, as higher interest rates for a longer period mean better returns on dollar-denominated assets.
2. Stocks may experience some volatility, as part of the recent rally was based on expectations of a rapid rate cut.
3. Gold may enter a temporary equilibrium, as the metal reacts strongly to monetary policy expectations.
Most importantly:
The shift from expecting an early rate cut to “higher interest rates for longer” is re-evaluating risk across all markets.
The market doesn't just react to the actual decision,
it reacts to expectations.
And when expectations suddenly change, money moves quickly.
The real question now isn't:
Will there be a rate cut in March?
But:
When will the first actual cut begin?
And how many cuts will there be during the year?
Because the next monetary policy cycle will determine the direction of liquidity, the cost of funding, and global risk appetite.
In the markets, 7% means one thing:
March is no longer on the table.
But the cycle isn't over… it's just being postponed.
$XAU
{future}(XAUUSDT)
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
#fogo @fogo $FOGO
People say Fogo is “SVM + high performance.”
Yes, it runs ~450 TPS, ~40ms blocks, ~1–1.5s finality — and still far below its limits.
So speed isn’t the story.
The real shift is sessions.
Less signing. Sponsored fees. Smoother flow.
When interaction feels continuous, people click more. Apps test more. Retention grows.
But here’s the quiet tradeoff:
If apps pay most fees, economic power can concentrate in a few hands.
Speed is easy.
Who pays — and how diversified that base is — will decide how durable Fogo becomes.
$COMP is showing a clean breakout rally followed by aggressive bullish continuation, which signals strong buyer dominance and entry into an expansion phase rather than simple relief bounce.
Momentum structure is supported by higher highs, strong volume push, and shallow pullbacks, all typical signs of trend strength.
As long as price holds above the 17.2 structural support, the bullish continuation toward 21.5 and 24.0 liquidity zones remains valid.
Failure to hold that level would weaken the breakout and shift the market back into consolidation.
🚸 COMP (USDT)
🔰 LEVERAGE: 1X to 50x
🚀 LONG
✅ ENTRY: 18.5 – 19.0
PROFIT TARGETS:
1️⃣ 21.5
2️⃣ 24.0++++
🛑 STOP LOSS: 17.2
Support me — just trade here 👇
{future}(COMPUSDT)
$BTC breakout continuation....$BTC Clean breakout above range resistance with strong momentum. As long as 67k holds, trend favors continuation higher.....
Long $BTC
Entry: 67,600 – 68,200
SL: 66,800
TP1: 69,500
TP2: 71,000
TP3: 73,000
Fogo reminds me of switching from a laggy group call to everyone sitting at the same table—same conversation, but the pauses disappear.
It’s still the Solana Virtual Machine under the hood, so builders aren’t learning a new “language”; the bet is that the room (consensus + validator locality) matters more than inventing new syntax.
The multi-local setup is basically “agree in a neighborhood, then rotate neighborhoods,” borrowing the follow-the-sun instinct from global markets rather than pretending geography doesn’t exist.
Recent update: Fogo’s public mainnet went live on January 15, 2026, with Binance spot trading opening the same day (14:00 UTC), so this is no longer just lab talk.
On mainnet, Fogo reported 40ms block times and >1,200 TPS on its first application—numbers that directly translate into fewer missed fills and less “I clicked, then waited” friction.
If those figures hold under real congestion, Fogo’s edge is simple: it turns on-chain execution from a delayed reaction into something you can actually trade on in the moment.
#fogo $FOGO @fogo
{spot}(FOGOUSDT)
$ETH 🚨 TRADE SIGNAL – ETH/USDT 🚨
Asset: Ethereum
Current Price: $2,020
📊 Structure Overview
$2,000 is a strong psychological and technical level.
Price reaction around this zone decides direction.
🟢 Bullish Setup (If Holding Above $1,980)
Entry Zone: $1,990 – $2,030
Stop Loss: $1,920
Targets:
🎯 TP1: $2,120
🎯 TP2: $2,250
🎯 TP3: $2,400
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Sustained break above $2,150 strengthens bullish continuation.
🔴 Bearish Setup (If Breaks Below $1,980)
If 4H candle closes below $1,980:
Short Targets:
🎯 $1,900
🎯 $1,820
🎯 $1,750
📌 Summary
Above $2,000 → Bullish bias
Below $1,980 → Pullback likely
$ETH
Tell me timeframe (15m / 1H / 4H / Daily) and whether this is spot or futures, and I’ll tighten the setup.#USRetailSalesMissForecast
The US national debt just crossed $38 trillion and honestly, the number is so big most people barely react anymore.
But the pace is what should catch your attention.
Back in 2000, debt was around $5.7 trillion. After the financial crisis it doubled. Post pandemic stimulus pushed it past $30 trillion. Now we are adding roughly $1 trillion every 100 days.
At some point the focus stops being the size of the debt and shifts to the cost of carrying it.
Interest payments are exploding and are on track to rival, even surpass, defense spending if rates stay elevated. That is not a small budget line item anymore, it is becoming structural.
This creates a few pressure points.
More Treasury supply means more bonds flooding the market.
Higher yields are needed to attract buyers.
And suddenly equities have real competition from “risk free” returns.
We have already seen what happens when the 10 year spikes. Growth stocks feel it first, multiples compress, and liquidity tightens across the board.
The US can probably sustain large debt for longer than people expect, mainly because the dollar still sits at the center of the system.
But the real question is not “can it survive?”
It is where the bond market starts pushing back.
At what yield do stocks stop treating this as background noise and begin repricing structurally?
Feels less like an immediate crisis and more like a slow burn risk that markets cannot ignore forever.
Curious where people stand on this
Is this just part of the new normal, or the kind of pressure that eventually forces a bigger reset?
Ethereum Foundation Shakeup: Co-Executive Director Steps Down After Just 1 Year
Tomasz Stańczak is stepping down as Co-Executive Director of the #Ethereum Foundation at the end of February 2026.
What you need to know:
▸ Bastian Aue will replace him as interim Co-Executive Director
▸ Hsiao-Wei Wang continues as Co-Executive Director
▸ Stańczak will remain active as an Ethereum core developer
His legacy at EF:
During his tenure, Stańczak helped accelerate Ethereum's decision-making process, improved institutional relationships, supported builders, and established treasury policies. He also pushed the ambitious L1 scaling roadmap targeting 10x speed improvements.
Why it matters:
This is the second EF leadership change in under 12 months. However, the transition appears smooth with clear succession planning. Stańczak staying involved as a core developer signals continued technical contribution to Ethereum's development.
The Ethereum ecosystem remains focused on delivering major upgrades and scaling solutions through 2026.
I just noticed the chances of a US government shutdown on Feb 14 dropping to around 25%, and it honestly feels like a bit of pressure coming off the room. For the past few days, that uncertainty was sitting in the background, making everything feel a little tense. Even if people don’t talk about it much, these things affect how the market feels. Seeing those odds fall makes it seem like maybe things won’t get as messy as expected. It’s not some huge celebration type news, but it does bring a small sense of calm. And markets usually breathe easier when uncertainty starts fading.
#USGovernmentShutdown #February #drop
FOGO is gaining attention in the crypto market, showing notable activity and growing investor interest. With a current price around $0.022 and a recent 7% increase, the token is showing short-term momentum. Its market cap stands at over $82 million, while the fully diluted market cap exceeds $217 million, indicating future supply potential.
The circulating supply of 3.77 billion FOGO out of a total 9.95 billion suggests that more tokens could enter the market, which may impact price action over time. Trading volume of over $22 million shows active buying and selling, signaling liquidity and interest among traders.
Like all cryptocurrencies, FOGO comes with risks, especially due to market volatility and token supply dynamics. Investors should always conduct their own research, analyze token fundamentals, and manage risk wisely.
Crypto markets move fast, and opportunities come to those who stay informed and disciplined. Keep learning, stay cautious, and invest responsibly.
#fogo $FOGO @fogo
Recommendation: Long $ETH
Entry: $2,000–$2,030 or $1,960–$1,980
Take Profit: $2,080–$2,120 or $2,180
Stop Loss: $1,920–$1,940
Reason: Bullish breakout with strong candle and rising volume. Structure is now higher highs and higher lows after reclaiming $2,000. Buyers are in control; continuation likely unless price drops below support.
{future}(ETHUSDT)