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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Federico Brauchla AuOg:
sir isski kuch smj nhi arhi mera blnce 00 hy
#btc в первую очередь, кто брал лонги вчера в нижнем диапазоне боковика, сейчас можно зафиксировать часть и перевести стоп в бу, так как есть вариант со снижением.
На графике вчера отмечал симметричный треугольник, который вчера был пробит вниз, и на сейчас есть ретест пробития и если цена не вернется обратно в фигуру, то скорее всего последует дальнейшее снижение, с конечной целью по треугольнику - проторговка оставленной тени или незначительное обновление лоя. Так же желтой пунктирной линией отметил еще один вариант треугольника по вчерашнему лою, но это пока гипотеза. На сейчас рассматриваю вариант нового лонга на отскок, с диапазона 65510-63500, закрепление ниже диапазона откроет путь на 60-58000, где уже буду рассматривать более долгосрочный Лонг.
Шорт все также хочется набрать в диапазоне 70-72000 и выше. Локальный скальп шорт можно пробовать с текущих, но у меня пока нет желания. Стопом будет выступать возврат цены в треугольник, целью диапазон набора лонга на отскок и конечной целью 60-68000. Но еще раз повторю, я не буду открывать шорт. Локально пока все. Всем хорошего дня!
На графике вчера отмечал симметричный треугольник, который вчера был пробит вниз, и на сейчас есть ретест пробития и если цена не вернется обратно в фигуру, то скорее всего последует дальнейшее снижение, с конечной целью по треугольнику - проторговка оставленной тени или незначительное обновление лоя. Так же желтой пунктирной линией отметил еще один вариант треугольника по вчерашнему лою, но это пока гипотеза. На сейчас рассматриваю вариант нового лонга на отскок, с диапазона 65510-63500, закрепление ниже диапазона откроет путь на 60-58000, где уже буду рассматривать более долгосрочный Лонг.
Шорт все также хочется набрать в диапазоне 70-72000 и выше. Локальный скальп шорт можно пробовать с текущих, но у меня пока нет желания. Стопом будет выступать возврат цены в треугольник, целью диапазон набора лонга на отскок и конечной целью 60-68000. Но еще раз повторю, я не буду открывать шорт. Локально пока все. Всем хорошего дня!
$BTC As of February 19, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $66,941, marking a minor decline from its previous day's value of $67,341. The cryptocurrency is currently undergoing a significant correction phase, having dropped nearly 50% from its record peak of $126,272 achieved in October 2025.
Support: A critical support zone exists at $60,000. Analysts warn that a decisive break below this level could trigger a further drawdown toward the $48,000–$50,000 range.
Resistance: Immediate hurdles are positioned at $70,000 and $75,000. Reclaiming the $80,000 mark would be necessary to reassert a broader bullish bias.
#BTC #btc #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
Support: A critical support zone exists at $60,000. Analysts warn that a decisive break below this level could trigger a further drawdown toward the $48,000–$50,000 range.
Resistance: Immediate hurdles are positioned at $70,000 and $75,000. Reclaiming the $80,000 mark would be necessary to reassert a broader bullish bias.
#BTC #btc #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
🚨 Bitcoin's $40K "put" is now the second largest options bet ahead of the Feb 27 expiry, ~$490M in notional open interest.
That's serious crash protection demand with
$BTC around $66K after a 50% pullback.
Max pain sits at $75K (~$566M), while calls still outnumber puts (PCR 0.72).
Traders are positioned for a rebound but clearly hedging for another leg down.
#analises #btc #bitcoin
That's serious crash protection demand with
$BTC around $66K after a 50% pullback.
Max pain sits at $75K (~$566M), while calls still outnumber puts (PCR 0.72).
Traders are positioned for a rebound but clearly hedging for another leg down.
#analises #btc #bitcoin
لارا الزهراني:
مكافأة مني لك تجدها مثبت في اول منشور ❤️
🚨 Bitcoin Déjà Vu? The 30-Month Truth No One Wants to Hear. 🚨
It took ~30 months for $BTC to break into a new ATH after 2021.
If history rhymes…
$120K might not come until 2027–2028.
Let that sink in.
🔁 The Cycle Blueprint (It’s Happening Again)
1️⃣ First Top → Shock
• 2021: Overheated. Retail euphoric. RSI stretched.
• 2024: Same vertical expansion. Same reset.
Markets cool after going parabolic.
That hasn’t changed.
2️⃣ Second Top → Distribution
• Oct 2021: Strong push. But weaker momentum.
• Oct 2025: Same divergence. Same rejection.
Looks bullish.
Feels bullish.
But momentum says otherwise.
Then come the slow red weeks.
Lower highs. Emotional exhaustion.
3️⃣ The Boring Base (Where Real Money Is Made)
After 2021’s second top, BTC didn’t instantly explode.
It compressed.
RSI reset.
Sentiment died.
Only THEN came macro expansion.
2026 feels similar:
• RSI near exhaustion zones
• Price hovering near prior ATH
• No excitement
This is the phase that tests conviction.
⏳ The 30-Month Reality
2021 peak → 2024 breakout = ~30 months
Mirror that from Oct 2025…
Expansion window points to 2027–2028.
Not hopium.
Not fear.
Just historical rhythm.
Every BTC cycle has:
✔️ Euphoria
✔️ Double-top distribution
✔️ Weeks of red
✔️ Momentum reset
✔️ Boring base
✔️ Delayed expansion
We are between “weeks of red” and “base building.”
The real move might not be behind us.
It might just not be scheduled for tomorrow.
📌 Patience is the hardest trade.
📊 Structure > Emotion.
If this cycle isn’t different…
Time is the catalyst again.
Agree or disagree? 👇
Let’s discuss.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours #btc #BTC走势分析 $XRP $ADA
It took ~30 months for $BTC to break into a new ATH after 2021.
If history rhymes…
$120K might not come until 2027–2028.
Let that sink in.
🔁 The Cycle Blueprint (It’s Happening Again)
1️⃣ First Top → Shock
• 2021: Overheated. Retail euphoric. RSI stretched.
• 2024: Same vertical expansion. Same reset.
Markets cool after going parabolic.
That hasn’t changed.
2️⃣ Second Top → Distribution
• Oct 2021: Strong push. But weaker momentum.
• Oct 2025: Same divergence. Same rejection.
Looks bullish.
Feels bullish.
But momentum says otherwise.
Then come the slow red weeks.
Lower highs. Emotional exhaustion.
3️⃣ The Boring Base (Where Real Money Is Made)
After 2021’s second top, BTC didn’t instantly explode.
It compressed.
RSI reset.
Sentiment died.
Only THEN came macro expansion.
2026 feels similar:
• RSI near exhaustion zones
• Price hovering near prior ATH
• No excitement
This is the phase that tests conviction.
⏳ The 30-Month Reality
2021 peak → 2024 breakout = ~30 months
Mirror that from Oct 2025…
Expansion window points to 2027–2028.
Not hopium.
Not fear.
Just historical rhythm.
Every BTC cycle has:
✔️ Euphoria
✔️ Double-top distribution
✔️ Weeks of red
✔️ Momentum reset
✔️ Boring base
✔️ Delayed expansion
We are between “weeks of red” and “base building.”
The real move might not be behind us.
It might just not be scheduled for tomorrow.
📌 Patience is the hardest trade.
📊 Structure > Emotion.
If this cycle isn’t different…
Time is the catalyst again.
Agree or disagree? 👇
Let’s discuss.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours #btc #BTC走势分析 $XRP $ADA
#btc
ballenas manipulando precio (libro de trades 347.n volume de trade en 60.000 en estos 2 dias y desaparece cuando subió a 67100+.
ahora vuelve a aparecer ese volumen en 67136....
y tu? esperas a 62.000?
o crees que no? $BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase #
ballenas manipulando precio (libro de trades 347.n volume de trade en 60.000 en estos 2 dias y desaparece cuando subió a 67100+.
ahora vuelve a aparecer ese volumen en 67136....
y tu? esperas a 62.000?
o crees que no? $BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase #
🚨 Мы снова у ключевой точки цикла…
История Биткоина повторяется почти по учебнику:
▪️ ATH 2018 → падение в зону накопления 2019 → рост +1615%
▪️ ATH 2021 → падение в зону накопления 2023 → рост +663%
▪️ ATH 2025 → откат к зоне покупок 2026 → …что дальше?
Каждый раз рынок проходит один и тот же путь: эйфория → боль → скука → новый взрыв.
И самое интересное — такие окна возможностей открываются примерно раз в 4 года, когда большинство уже разочаровано и боится заходить.
Вопрос только один:
сейчас снова тот самый момент… или в этот раз всё будет иначе? 👀 $BTC #btc
История Биткоина повторяется почти по учебнику:
▪️ ATH 2018 → падение в зону накопления 2019 → рост +1615%
▪️ ATH 2021 → падение в зону накопления 2023 → рост +663%
▪️ ATH 2025 → откат к зоне покупок 2026 → …что дальше?
Каждый раз рынок проходит один и тот же путь: эйфория → боль → скука → новый взрыв.
И самое интересное — такие окна возможностей открываются примерно раз в 4 года, когда большинство уже разочаровано и боится заходить.
Вопрос только один:
сейчас снова тот самый момент… или в этот раз всё будет иначе? 👀 $BTC #btc
春节后布局：$BTC $ETH $SOL 别慌，KOL吵架只是噪音！🚀
火马年开局，市场波动大，但别FOMO也别恐慌！节后回调是常态，机构还在囤货，美联储降息预期+ETF热潮，牛市基础稳如老狗。
$BTC ：王者地位不动摇，减半周期+全球采用率UP，短期回调到6W附近就是黄金坑。KOL们为流量互怼（谁看空谁看多），忽略了链上数据：鲸鱼持仓创高，别被噪音带节奏。
$ETH ：Layer2生态爆发，Dencun升级后Gas费低飞，DeFi TVL回暖。别慌，回调到3K是布局机会。
$SOL ：Meme热退潮但手机+Web3游戏潜力大，TVL稳居前三。短期补跌正常，长远看好。
想高倍赌一把？选BTC开多！杠杆10-20X，止损设在近期低点（比如58K），目标直奔7W+。手续费高？点下面交易组件，我返佣帮你省！💰
你们怎么看KOL大战？
#btc #ETH #solana
火马年开局，市场波动大，但别FOMO也别恐慌！节后回调是常态，机构还在囤货，美联储降息预期+ETF热潮，牛市基础稳如老狗。
$BTC ：王者地位不动摇，减半周期+全球采用率UP，短期回调到6W附近就是黄金坑。KOL们为流量互怼（谁看空谁看多），忽略了链上数据：鲸鱼持仓创高，别被噪音带节奏。
$ETH ：Layer2生态爆发，Dencun升级后Gas费低飞，DeFi TVL回暖。别慌，回调到3K是布局机会。
$SOL ：Meme热退潮但手机+Web3游戏潜力大，TVL稳居前三。短期补跌正常，长远看好。
想高倍赌一把？选BTC开多！杠杆10-20X，止损设在近期低点（比如58K），目标直奔7W+。手续费高？点下面交易组件，我返佣帮你省！💰
你们怎么看KOL大战？
#btc #ETH #solana
#bitcoin short-term Sharpe ratio just hit an extreme low of -38.38. 📊
If we look at the chart, every time this metric dropped into this zone (2015, 2019, and 2022), it marked a major market bottom. Each of those dips was followed by a massive rally to new all-time highs.
While the data suggests we are in a generational buying zone, my analysis shows that we might see a bit more downside before the final reversal. I’m keeping a close eye on the $30,000 USDT level later this year. 📉
We might be looking at a rare generational buying opportunity right now. Are you buying the dip? 👇
#StrategyBTCPurchase #BTC100kNext? #btc #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC
If we look at the chart, every time this metric dropped into this zone (2015, 2019, and 2022), it marked a major market bottom. Each of those dips was followed by a massive rally to new all-time highs.
While the data suggests we are in a generational buying zone, my analysis shows that we might see a bit more downside before the final reversal. I’m keeping a close eye on the $30,000 USDT level later this year. 📉
We might be looking at a rare generational buying opportunity right now. Are you buying the dip? 👇
#StrategyBTCPurchase #BTC100kNext? #btc #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC
BTC is looking a bit shaky right now 👀
It’s hovering around $66K–$68K, and the short-term trend is bearish:
MACD still weak, no bullish crossover yet
EMAs above price, acting as resistance
RSI low but not deeply oversold — so room to drop more
💥 Key support zones to watch:
Immediate: $65,600
Critical: $60K
Bear scenario: $55K or lower if selling pressure continues
💭 Where would you buy if BTC drops further?
Drop your thoughts below 👇🔥
$BTC
#btc
It’s hovering around $66K–$68K, and the short-term trend is bearish:
MACD still weak, no bullish crossover yet
EMAs above price, acting as resistance
RSI low but not deeply oversold — so room to drop more
💥 Key support zones to watch:
Immediate: $65,600
Critical: $60K
Bear scenario: $55K or lower if selling pressure continues
💭 Where would you buy if BTC drops further?
Drop your thoughts below 👇🔥
$BTC
#btc
📊 Crypto Market Snapshot🚨
Market = Neutral / Consolidation
• Total Market Cap: $2.32T
• BTC Dominance: 57.67% → High (risk-off)
• Bitcoin: $66,983 (−0.95%) — Holding strong
• Ethereum: $1,972 (−1.36%) — Weak vs BTC
• BNB: $607 (−1.72%) — Slight weakness
• Solana: $81 (−4.11%) — High-beta drop
• Injective: $3.41 (+9.71%) — Isolated strength
⸻
🧠 What It Means
🔹 Money is concentrated in BTC (safe play)
🔹 Alts underperform → No altseason yet
🔹 Select coins pumping on narratives
🔹 Market waiting for a catalyst
👉 Typical late correction / early accumulation phase
⸻
🔮 Key Signals to Watch
Bullish: BTC dominance falls, ETH & alts outperform
Bearish: BTC loses major support (~$60K)
⸻
Bottom line: Not bearish, not bullish — market is coiling for the next big move.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc #bitcoin #MarketSentimentToday #Market_Update
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Market = Neutral / Consolidation
• Total Market Cap: $2.32T
• BTC Dominance: 57.67% → High (risk-off)
• Bitcoin: $66,983 (−0.95%) — Holding strong
• Ethereum: $1,972 (−1.36%) — Weak vs BTC
• BNB: $607 (−1.72%) — Slight weakness
• Solana: $81 (−4.11%) — High-beta drop
• Injective: $3.41 (+9.71%) — Isolated strength
⸻
🧠 What It Means
🔹 Money is concentrated in BTC (safe play)
🔹 Alts underperform → No altseason yet
🔹 Select coins pumping on narratives
🔹 Market waiting for a catalyst
👉 Typical late correction / early accumulation phase
⸻
🔮 Key Signals to Watch
Bullish: BTC dominance falls, ETH & alts outperform
Bearish: BTC loses major support (~$60K)
⸻
Bottom line: Not bearish, not bullish — market is coiling for the next big move.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc #bitcoin #MarketSentimentToday #Market_Update
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
$BTC — Flush Low Holding 📈
Long $BTC
Entry: 66,000 – 66,400
SL: 64,800
TP1: 68,000
TP2: 70,500
TP3: 73,000
The recent flush failed to produce downside continuation, with bids stepping in quickly — suggesting absorption rather than distribution. Structure remains defended and sell-side momentum has not expanded.
As long as 64,800 holds, upside continuation toward higher liquidity zones remains the favored path. A sustained break below support would invalidate the bullish thesis.
Buy and trade here 👇🏻 to support me.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #bullish #btc #BTC走势分析
Long $BTC
Entry: 66,000 – 66,400
SL: 64,800
TP1: 68,000
TP2: 70,500
TP3: 73,000
The recent flush failed to produce downside continuation, with bids stepping in quickly — suggesting absorption rather than distribution. Structure remains defended and sell-side momentum has not expanded.
As long as 64,800 holds, upside continuation toward higher liquidity zones remains the favored path. A sustained break below support would invalidate the bullish thesis.
Buy and trade here 👇🏻 to support me.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #bullish #btc #BTC走势分析
According to astrological methods, I believe $BTC will return to the 43,000 USD - 45,000 USD range.
This will also be the balancing milestone of the era for $BTC to sustain long-term growth. What goes up must come down; nothing can increase in value forever.
Prosperity and decline are two parallel concepts that go hand in hand.
#btc #ETH #bnb
This will also be the balancing milestone of the era for $BTC to sustain long-term growth. What goes up must come down; nothing can increase in value forever.
Prosperity and decline are two parallel concepts that go hand in hand.
#btc #ETH #bnb
$BTC
This is what I am expecting from Bitcoin in mid term
#btc #bitcoin #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine #TradeCryptosOnX #CPIWatch
$ETH $XRP
This is what I am expecting from Bitcoin in mid term
#btc #bitcoin #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine #TradeCryptosOnX #CPIWatch
$ETH $XRP
On BTC, price is trading below 68600, so short term structure is bearish.
We topped near 70900. For me, 67k–67.5k is minor resistance now. If we lose 65.8k–66k support cleanly, I’d expect a move toward 64.8k next.
#btc #cryptofirst21 #Market_Update
$BTC
We topped near 70900. For me, 67k–67.5k is minor resistance now. If we lose 65.8k–66k support cleanly, I’d expect a move toward 64.8k next.
#btc #cryptofirst21 #Market_Update
$BTC
BNB Legacy:
Bitcoin reaching 1 USDT is something that can only happen in a dream, not in reality 😂
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