cryptomarkets

Bitcoin is hovering right at a pressure point — and this isn’t noise. It’s structure.
Price is circling the prior $59,800 low, and if that level gets swept, two very different paths open immediately.
🔻 Scenario 1: Bear Trap
A liquidity sweep into the $59,700–$58,600 pocket.
That’s just deep enough to trigger stops, trap late shorts, and flush weak longs — but not deep enough to damage the broader structure.
In prior cycles, $BTC has repeatedly wicked below key lows before reclaiming them aggressively. Liquidity gets cleared first. Confirmation comes after.
🔻 Scenario 2: Broader Correction
If momentum expands with volume and acceptance below that range, the next structural projection sits near $49,865 — derived from the wider $59,800–$72,300 range expansion.
That wouldn’t be random. It would align with historical ~50–55% drawdowns seen during prior mid-cycle resets.
Now here’s the critical layer most traders ignore:
The 5-year SMA sits around $55,600.
Historically, that level has acted as a macro compression zone — where long-term risk/reward begins shifting again. When $BTC trades near multi-year cost bases, asymmetry changes.
So the question isn’t simply “down or up.”
It’s:
– Do we see a fast rejection and reclaim? → Bear trap probability increases.
– Or do we see sustained acceptance below key structure? → Deeper unwind in motion.
Liquidity gets hunted first.
Trend gets confirmed second.
This is a positioning battlefield — not a prediction game.
Is this the final shakeout before expansion… or the first crack in something larger?
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #BTC

$BTC is currently trading around the $66.6K region and stuck between two major liquidity pools.
📍 Upside Liquidity: $69K – $70K
📍 Downside Liquidity: Around $66K
Market structure on 4H shows:
• Weak momentum
• Lower highs forming
• Order book showing heavier sell pressure
• Funding slightly negative (bearish bias short term)
This creates a classic liquidity scenario:
⚡ Scenario 1: Sweep below $66K → Stop-loss hunt → Sharp bounce toward $69K
⚡ Scenario 2: Break above $70K → Momentum continuation toward $72K+
Right now, the downside sweep looks more probable before any meaningful rally.
Smart traders wait for liquidity grabs — not emotional entries.
Key levels to watch: Support: $65,800 – $66,000
Resistance: $69,500 – $70,000
Volatility expansion is coming. The range won’t last long.
Are you positioning for a downside sweep first — or straight breakout?
#StrategyBTCPurchase #BTC #CryptoMarkets

XRP is hovering in a sensitive region on the daily chart, with price action showing signs of hesitation after a recent pullback. The asset has struggled to maintain momentum above short-term resistance, while buyers continue to defend lower levels, creating a tightening range that could soon resolve in a decisive directional move.
On the daily timeframe, $XRP is trading below its short- and medium-term moving averages, suggesting that the broader short-term trend remains under pressure. However, the distance between the price and the faster average is relatively small, indicating that bearish momentum is not accelerating. Instead, the short-term trend appears to be flattening, which often reflects a consolidation phase rather than a strong downtrend.

Momentum indicators paint a similar picture. The relative strength index remains below the midpoint, showing that sellers still hold a slight advantage, but it is not in deeply oversold territory. This suggests that the market is not experiencing aggressive downside pressure. At the same time, the MACD structure shows improving conditions, with bearish momentum gradually weakening. This kind of shift often precedes either a relief bounce or a broader trend transition.
From a structural perspective, the market is now approaching a critical resistance zone near $1.4726. A sustained move above this level could indicate that buyers are regaining control, potentially opening the path toward the next resistance around $1.5094. If bullish momentum strengthens further, the higher resistance near $1.9335 becomes a longer-term target.
On the downside, the first major support sits near $1.3635. This zone represents the nearest line of defense for buyers and could attract demand if the price softens further. A breakdown below this level would likely shift sentiment more clearly in favor of sellers, exposing the next support near $1.2146.
Order book data shows heavy liquidity on both sides of the current price, reinforcing the idea that XRP is in a compression phase. Large bid walls around $1.4100, $1.4000, and $1.3500 suggest buyers are ready to defend those zones. Meanwhile, significant sell walls near $1.4800, $1.4900, and $1.5100 indicate strong overhead supply. If buyers absorb these sell orders and push above the upper liquidity band, it could trigger a stronger upside move. Conversely, losing the lower bid walls would likely open the door to deeper downside.
Overall, the technical structure suggests a neutral-to-bearish bias in the short term, but with clear signs that selling pressure is easing. The next major move will likely depend on whether buyers can reclaim nearby resistance or if key support levels begin to fail.
#XRP #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins

Bitcoin ($BTC) has been trading sideways between $60,000 and $70,000 for the past 12 days after a sharp drop on February 5, 2026. While some hope this signals a bottom, caution is warranted.
➤ Volatility warning: On-chain analyst Willy Woo notes BTC entered bear market territory when volatility spiked. Historically, true bottoms follow the 2nd or 3rd smaller spikes—not the first.
➤ Market risks: Weakness in global equities and capital outflows could push Bitcoin lower before any sustainable recovery.

➤ Accumulation check: Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score shows large holders are not yet aggressively buying. Past recoveries (Terra-LUNA, FTX) relied on major players stepping in—missing today.
➤ Short-term optimism: Nansen’s options data shows calls at $75,000 outpacing puts, hinting some professional investors are betting on a breakout.
$60,000 is the critical line in the sand. Without strong accumulation, Bitcoin may still fall. Patience beats chasing every dip.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #PredictionMarkets
$INJ
$RECALL
$MITO

El mercado nos acaba de dar un baño de realidad. Hoy, 18 de febrero de 2026, el mapa de calor de las criptomonedas parece una escena de película de suspenso: rojo por todas partes. Pero, como siempre digo "mientras el novato entra en pánico, el experto busca la divergencia". Aquí te desgloso qué está pasando realmente en las gráficas y dónde están las oportunidades ocultas que la mayoría está pasando por alto.

1. El Diagnóstico: Bitcoin marca el paso, las Altcoins sufren el peso
Bitcoin (BTC) cayó a los $65,870. Aunque parece una caída menor, ha sido suficiente para que proyectos de alta volatilidad como Solana (SOL) y Bittensor (TAO) sangren más de un 4%.
¿La razón? El capital está migrando temporalmente a la seguridad. El volumen masivo en USDT ($66B) nos dice que las ballenas no están abandonando el barco, solo están "sentadas en efectivo" esperando el punto exacto de reentrada.
2. La Anomalía: ¿Qué pasa con WLFI?
En un mar de números negativos, World Liberty Financial (WLFI) brilla con un impresionante +13.62%.
El fenómeno: Esto es puro desacoplamiento. Cuando un activo sube con fuerza mientras el resto cae, atrae el famoso FOMO (miedo a quedarse fuera).Ojo aquí: Operar esto es como jugar con fuego. Si no hay un fundamental sólido detrás, la corrección podría ser igual de vertical que la subida.
3. El Refugio Silencioso: PAX Gold (PAXG)
Un dato que pocos están comentando: PAXG ha subido un +2.07%.
Cuando el token respaldado por oro físico sube, el mercado nos está enviando un mensaje codificado: "Aversión al Riesgo". Los inversores institucionales están protegiendo su capital ante una posible volatilidad extendida durante el resto de la semana.
4. Estrategia de Supervivencia: ¿Qué hacer mañana?
Si eres trader o inversor, aquí tienes mi hoja de ruta:
Paciencia en los Soportes: No intentes "adivinar" el suelo de ZCash (ZEC) o Solana. Espera a que el volumen de venta se agote en temporalidades de 4 horas.Vigila los $65,000 de BTC: Ese es nuestro muro de contención. Si lo perdemos, prepárate para ver ofertas aún más baratas en las altcoins.La jugada inteligente: En lugar de perseguir el FOMO de WLFI, observa las monedas con proyectos sólidos que están aguantando mejor la caída (como Tron o BNB). Esas suelen ser las primeras en explotar cuando el mercado rebota.
Nota: Los mercados rojos son los que separan a los turistas de los residentes en este ecosistema. La volatilidad no es tu enemiga, es la herramienta que te permite comprar activos de valor con descuento.
¿Y tú qué opinas?
¿Crees que este retroceso es solo una toma de ganancias antes de buscar los $70k, o es el inicio de una corrección más profunda?
👇 Te leo en los comentarios. ¡Hagamos debate!
#Noticia #BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #Binance
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

$BTC is currently trading around the $66.6K region and stuck between two major liquidity pools.
📍 Upside Liquidity: $69K – $70K
📍 Downside Liquidity: Around $66K
Market structure on 4H shows:
• Weak momentum
• Lower highs forming
• Order book showing heavier sell pressure
• Funding slightly negative (bearish bias short term)
This creates a classic liquidity scenario:
⚡ Scenario 1: Sweep below $66K → Stop-loss hunt → Sharp bounce toward $69K
⚡ Scenario 2: Break above $70K → Momentum continuation toward $72K+
Right now, the downside sweep looks more probable before any meaningful rally.
Smart traders wait for liquidity grabs — not emotional entries.
Key levels to watch: Support: $65,800 – $66,000
Resistance: $69,500 – $70,000
Volatility expansion is coming. The range won’t last long.
Are you positioning for a downside sweep first — or straight breakout?
#StrategyBTCPurchase #BTC #CryptoMarkets

Something structural is happening beneath the candles.

Retail is waiting for dips.

Institutions are reducing the dip supply.

And that difference matters.

1️⃣ Exchange Supply Is Quietly Shrinking

Bitcoin balances on exchanges continue trending toward multi-year lows.

Less BTC on exchanges =

less immediate sell-side liquidity.

When liquid supply contracts, volatility expands.

Not because of hype — but because fewer coins are available to satisfy demand spikes.

2️⃣ ETF Demand vs Mining Output

Spot ETF inflows have repeatedly absorbed more BTC than miners produce daily.

Think about that carefully.

New supply enters the market…

and gets structurally absorbed.

This is not short-term speculation.

This is balance sheet allocation.

When steady demand meets fixed issuance, price doesn’t move linearly.

It reprices.

3️⃣ Long-Term Holders Aren’t Distributing

On-chain data shows long-term holders near record supply levels.

Even during local highs, coins are not rotating aggressively.

Strong hands are tightening circulation.

That shifts the narrative from:

Price Discovery → Scarcity Discovery.

And scarcity phases behave differently.

Market Read

This doesn’t mean “straight up.”

It means volatility compression can lead to aggressive repricing once liquidity pockets thin out.

The mistake right now?

Staring at 1H candles

while institutions study quarterly allocations.

Wall Street isn’t scalping Bitcoin.

They’re absorbing it.

Trade Thought / Decision Framework

If supply contraction continues, upside expansions can accelerate quickly.

If ETF flows slow and exchange balances rise, the thesis weakens.

Acceptance vs failure.

Structure vs narrative.

Risk first — conviction second.

The real question isn’t whether BTC moves this week.

It’s whether you understand what happens

when liquid supply disappears.

Are you distributing to stronger hands…

or positioning alongside them?

$BTC

#bitcoin #SupplyShock #etf #Onchain #CryptoMarkets

$BTC