🔓 Current unlock situation
According to on-chain/token data:
• Max supply: 100M $RIVER
• Unlocked: ~47.7M (≈ 47.7%)
• Locked: ~52.3M (≈ 52.3%)
• Circulating supply: still relatively low
• FDV is much higher than current market cap
📌 This means over half of the total supply is still locked.
Future unlocks = future supply entering the market.
⚠️ What this means professionally
Token unlocks are not automatically bearish —
but they change market dynamics.
They introduce:
• Potential sell pressure
• Liquidity shifts
• Trend instability
• Whale re-positioning
As more tokens unlock, price must find new real demand to absorb that supply.
If demand is weak → price adjusts downward.
If demand is strong → market can absorb unlocks.
🧠 Professional trader perspective
Professionals don’t only ask:
“Is price bullish?”
They ask:
• Who will receive unlocked tokens?
• Are they builders or sellers?
• Is volume strong enough to absorb new supply?
• Where is forced liquidity?
Unlock phases often create:
✔ fake breakouts
✔ distribution zones
✔ volatility spikes
✔ liquidity traps
This is when emotional traders get hurt.
🎯 Final assessment
$RIVER is entering a supply-sensitive phase.
Price will now depend less on hype
and more on real capital absorption.
This is no longer a simple momentum market.
It is becoming a structure market.
High opportunity.
High risk.
What matters most now is not prediction —
but reaction to unlock behavior.
👇
Do you think the market can absorb future $RIVER supply,
or will unlocks dominate price?
#RIVER #TokenUnlock #OnChainAnalysis #CryptoRisk #ProfessionalTrading #BinanceSquare #DYOR
