#USIranStandoff
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Oil and Energy The oil market is on high alert due to the possibility of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% to 27% of the world's oil transits. Prices on the rise: Brent crude surpassed $70 per barrel on January 29, following warnings from the US administration about the end of the window for a nuclear agreement. Risk projections: Analysts suggest that a complete halt to Iranian exports could push the price up to $91 by the end of 2026. Sanctions: The US recently expanded sanctions against "dark fleets" and maritime networks that facilitate the trade of Iranian crude. 📉 Global Economy and Markets Geopolitical uncertainty is causing a flight to safe-haven assets. Classic safe havens: Gold reached record highs nearing $5,600, while silver surpassed $120 for the first time. Impact on Wall Street: The Nasdaq index suffered significant declines (around 2%) on January 29, dragged down by fears of an escalation of war and cautious corporate earnings from tech giants. Currencies: The US dollar remains under pressure near multi-year lows against other major currencies. Cryptocurrencies and Evasion: Iran has integrated digital assets as a strategic tool to mitigate the impact of financial sanctions. State Use of Stablecoins: The Central Bank of Iran has acquired more than $500 million in USDT (Tether) to facilitate international trade payments and curb the collapse of the rial. Sanctions Evasion: Recent reports indicate that Iranian security forces have moved nearly $1 billion through international crypto platforms since 2023. Market Volatility: There are concerns that an open conflict could trigger a massive sell-off in the crypto sector. Projections estimate that Bitcoin could fall below $90,000 if an invasion or direct attack occurs.