btc
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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Jorge_75314:
6
#btc Every cycle, $BTC drops 80%+ before the next major move:
• 2015: -83% → Massive rally
• 2018: -81% → New all-time highs
• 2022: -83% → Another explosive run
• 2026: -80% → ???
We've seen this movie before. The drawdowns look devastating in real-time, but they set the stage for what comes next.
The question isn't *if* Bitcoin recovers—it's whether you're positioned when it does.
Smart money accumulates when others capitulate.
• 2015: -83% → Massive rally
• 2018: -81% → New all-time highs
• 2022: -83% → Another explosive run
• 2026: -80% → ???
We've seen this movie before. The drawdowns look devastating in real-time, but they set the stage for what comes next.
The question isn't *if* Bitcoin recovers—it's whether you're positioned when it does.
Smart money accumulates when others capitulate.
If $BTC goes to 48k, here’s what ETH likely does (based on real math, not hopium)
Before guessing the future, let’s acknowledge what already happened.
BTC topped around 126k and fell to 60k
That’s a 52% drawdown
$ETH topped near 4950 and fell to 1750
That’s a 65% drawdown
So ETH didn’t just follow $BTC
it overreacted by ~1.25x, mainly due to leverage and panic.
That part of the damage is already done.
Now the real question isn’t “Can ETH go lower?”
It’s from where and under what conditions.
Now assume this scenario:
BTC breaks 60k and grinds down to 48k
That’s another 20% downside
ETH’s reaction depends entirely on its starting point when this happens.
Scenario 1: ETH has bounced to 2300–2400 before BTC drops
This is the most realistic setup.
Using the same ETH/BTC volatility ratio (1.2x–1.3x):
20% BTC drop → 24–26% ETH drop
ETH 2400 → 1800
ETH 2300 → 1700
This is not panic.
This is controlled fear.
Scenario 2: ETH is already weak near 1900–2000
Now things change.
There’s less buffer.
Liquidations start earlier.
In this case:
ETH likely trades 1500–1400
Quick wicks lower are possible
Not because ETH is broken
But because leverage gets flushed again
Scenario 3: Full market panic (low probability, high damage)
This needs:-
BTC losing 48k fast
Bad macro or liquidity shock
Only then do we talk about:
1100–1200 wicks
Short-lived, emotional moves
Maximum pain, minimum time
Important thing most people miss
ETH already did its first panic leg when it hit 1750.
Second legs are usually:
Slower
Less violent
More selective
That’s why survival matters more than prediction.
My honest takeaway
ETH below 1500 is possible only if BTC is still falling
ETH below 1300 needs real panic, not Twitter fear
Overleveraged traders won’t survive this range
Spot holders with patience usually do
Markets don’t reward confidence.
They reward risk management.
If BTC actually goes to 48k,
where do you think ETH finds real buyers?
1400, 1200, or lower?
I’m reading all serious answers 👇
#btc #bnb #BinanceSquareTalks
Before guessing the future, let’s acknowledge what already happened.
BTC topped around 126k and fell to 60k
That’s a 52% drawdown
$ETH topped near 4950 and fell to 1750
That’s a 65% drawdown
So ETH didn’t just follow $BTC
it overreacted by ~1.25x, mainly due to leverage and panic.
That part of the damage is already done.
Now the real question isn’t “Can ETH go lower?”
It’s from where and under what conditions.
Now assume this scenario:
BTC breaks 60k and grinds down to 48k
That’s another 20% downside
ETH’s reaction depends entirely on its starting point when this happens.
Scenario 1: ETH has bounced to 2300–2400 before BTC drops
This is the most realistic setup.
Using the same ETH/BTC volatility ratio (1.2x–1.3x):
20% BTC drop → 24–26% ETH drop
ETH 2400 → 1800
ETH 2300 → 1700
This is not panic.
This is controlled fear.
Scenario 2: ETH is already weak near 1900–2000
Now things change.
There’s less buffer.
Liquidations start earlier.
In this case:
ETH likely trades 1500–1400
Quick wicks lower are possible
Not because ETH is broken
But because leverage gets flushed again
Scenario 3: Full market panic (low probability, high damage)
This needs:-
BTC losing 48k fast
Bad macro or liquidity shock
Only then do we talk about:
1100–1200 wicks
Short-lived, emotional moves
Maximum pain, minimum time
Important thing most people miss
ETH already did its first panic leg when it hit 1750.
Second legs are usually:
Slower
Less violent
More selective
That’s why survival matters more than prediction.
My honest takeaway
ETH below 1500 is possible only if BTC is still falling
ETH below 1300 needs real panic, not Twitter fear
Overleveraged traders won’t survive this range
Spot holders with patience usually do
Markets don’t reward confidence.
They reward risk management.
If BTC actually goes to 48k,
where do you think ETH finds real buyers?
1400, 1200, or lower?
I’m reading all serious answers 👇
#btc #bnb #BinanceSquareTalks
ETHUSDT
Perp
2X
Ouverture Long
G et P latents
-7 657,96USDT
Parents Blessings:
ETH TO 1110 IF BTC AT 47600
$BTC unding rates have moved into negative territory 📉
Historically, this has often indicated that a market bottom may be approaching.
#Write2Earn #btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #TrendingTopic
Historically, this has often indicated that a market bottom may be approaching.
#Write2Earn #btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #TrendingTopic
Trades récents
2 trades
BTCUSDT
$BTC Bitcoin is currently in a short-term corrective phase after rejection from the 70K zone. The structure shows lower highs, indicating weak bullish momentum. RSI bounced from oversold, so a relief bounce is possible, but the overall trend remains fragile.
Key Levels
Resistance
• 67,400
• 69,800
• 71,600
Support
• 65,000
• 63,200
• 60,000 (major demand)
Trade Plan
Short Scenario
Entry: 67K – 68K rejection
Targets: 65K → 63.2K
Stop Loss: 70K
Long Scenario
Entry: 63K – 64K demand zone
Targets: 67.5K → 70K
Stop Loss: 61.8K
Fundamental View
ETF flows and macro liquidity are controlling market direction.
Long term bullish — short term corrective.
⚠️ Market is highly volatile. Always use proper risk management & avoid over-leverage. Not financial advice.
#btc #BTCUSDT #BTCNextMove
Key Levels
Resistance
• 67,400
• 69,800
• 71,600
Support
• 65,000
• 63,200
• 60,000 (major demand)
Trade Plan
Short Scenario
Entry: 67K – 68K rejection
Targets: 65K → 63.2K
Stop Loss: 70K
Long Scenario
Entry: 63K – 64K demand zone
Targets: 67.5K → 70K
Stop Loss: 61.8K
Fundamental View
ETF flows and macro liquidity are controlling market direction.
Long term bullish — short term corrective.
⚠️ Market is highly volatile. Always use proper risk management & avoid over-leverage. Not financial advice.
#btc #BTCUSDT #BTCNextMove
📊 Crypto Heatmap🚨
🔴 Majors under pressure
Bitcoin: -1.04%
Ethereum: -2.03%
Solana: -3.23% (strongest drop among majors)
XRP: -2.18%
BNB: -0.22%
🟢 Small relief pockets
TRON: +0.76%
A few mid-caps slightly green
⚖️ Stablecoins (USDT / USDC) flat → no panic flow yet.
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #bitcoin #btc $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
🔴 Majors under pressure
Bitcoin: -1.04%
Ethereum: -2.03%
Solana: -3.23% (strongest drop among majors)
XRP: -2.18%
BNB: -0.22%
🟢 Small relief pockets
TRON: +0.76%
A few mid-caps slightly green
⚖️ Stablecoins (USDT / USDC) flat → no panic flow yet.
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #bitcoin #btc $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
📌 $BTC Breakout Action Today:
• Range: ~$65,148 (intraday low) → $68,318 (intraday high) — showing strong intra-day volatility and breakout attempts above key short-term resistance in the $67K–$68K range.
• Current price area: ~$65,600–$66,600 USD, steady after earlier upside moves.
📊 Key Levels (Recent Technical Context):
• Support: ~$60,000 main floor, holding recent breakdown attempts. 
• Current resistance breakout zone: ~$70,000–$72,000 — bulls need clear close above this to confirm next leg higher. 
• Wider range breakout threshold: above ~$80,000 would signal a renewed upward trend toward higher targets. 
💡 Summary: Bitcoin is bouncing in a volatile breakout range from lows near $65.1K to highs around $68.3K today, testing resistance toward the $70K+ breakout zone. A decisive close above $70K–$72K would confirm a stronger breakout continuation. #BTC走势分析 #btc #btc70k #BTC☀
• Range: ~$65,148 (intraday low) → $68,318 (intraday high) — showing strong intra-day volatility and breakout attempts above key short-term resistance in the $67K–$68K range.
• Current price area: ~$65,600–$66,600 USD, steady after earlier upside moves.
📊 Key Levels (Recent Technical Context):
• Support: ~$60,000 main floor, holding recent breakdown attempts. 
• Current resistance breakout zone: ~$70,000–$72,000 — bulls need clear close above this to confirm next leg higher. 
• Wider range breakout threshold: above ~$80,000 would signal a renewed upward trend toward higher targets. 
💡 Summary: Bitcoin is bouncing in a volatile breakout range from lows near $65.1K to highs around $68.3K today, testing resistance toward the $70K+ breakout zone. A decisive close above $70K–$72K would confirm a stronger breakout continuation. #BTC走势分析 #btc #btc70k #BTC☀
BTC 15M Supply Rejection – Clean 1:2 RR Setup
Timeframe: 15M
Setup: Supply Zone Rejection
BTC ne upper resistance/supply zone se strong rejection diya.
Multiple wicks ne confirm kiya ke sellers active hain.
Mid support break hone ke baad momentum fast ho gaya
Aur price directly next demand zone tak aa gaya.
🎯 Entry: Supply rejection ke baad
🛑 Stop Loss: Previous high ke upar
🎯 Target: Next demand zone
✅ Clean price action move
✅ Structure break confirmation
✅ RR maintained
Discipline + Zone trading = Controlled risk
#btc #Betcoin #cryptotreading
Timeframe: 15M
Setup: Supply Zone Rejection
BTC ne upper resistance/supply zone se strong rejection diya.
Multiple wicks ne confirm kiya ke sellers active hain.
Mid support break hone ke baad momentum fast ho gaya
Aur price directly next demand zone tak aa gaya.
🎯 Entry: Supply rejection ke baad
🛑 Stop Loss: Previous high ke upar
🎯 Target: Next demand zone
✅ Clean price action move
✅ Structure break confirmation
✅ RR maintained
Discipline + Zone trading = Controlled risk
#btc #Betcoin #cryptotreading
POLYMARKET LAUNCHES ‘UP OR DOWN’ BITCOIN PREDICTION MARKET
Polymarket has introduced a new “Up or Down” Bitcoin prediction market, allowing users to speculate on short term BTC price direction in a simplified binary format.
The market resolves using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, with the “Up” outcome winning if the final price is greater than or equal to the starting price at resolution time.
Analysts say the launch lowers complexity for participants while reinforcing the growing role of onchain oracles in securing market integrity. It also highlights the increasing convergence between prediction markets, real time data feeds, and crypto trading ecosystems.
#BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #USTechFundFlows
#WhaleDeRiskETH
#GoldSilverRally
#btc
The market resolves using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, with the “Up” outcome winning if the final price is greater than or equal to the starting price at resolution time.
Analysts say the launch lowers complexity for participants while reinforcing the growing role of onchain oracles in securing market integrity. It also highlights the increasing convergence between prediction markets, real time data feeds, and crypto trading ecosystems.
#BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #USTechFundFlows
#WhaleDeRiskETH
#GoldSilverRally
#btc
📊 Could USDT overtake $BTC and $ETH ? Bloomberg analyst’s scenario…
Bloomberg senior strategist Mike McGlone believes that Tether could surpass Ethereum and even Bitcoin in market capitalization but not due to explosive growth in stablecoins.
In his view, the trigger would be a market downturn:
• ETH — down to $1,500
• BTC — down to $10,000
😰😰😰
#TrendingTopic #btc #BTC☀ #ETH #Write2Earn
Bloomberg senior strategist Mike McGlone believes that Tether could surpass Ethereum and even Bitcoin in market capitalization but not due to explosive growth in stablecoins.
In his view, the trigger would be a market downturn:
• ETH — down to $1,500
• BTC — down to $10,000
😰😰😰
#TrendingTopic #btc #BTC☀ #ETH #Write2Earn
A
BTCUSDT
Perp
Fermée
G et P
+175.37%
$BTC trading near 65K while Fear Index shows Extreme Fear (8).
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#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #btc #ETH
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#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #btc #ETH
BTC is currently trading inside a tight triangle consolidation, with the market waiting for confirmation before committing to the next move.
A key structural shift occurred after losing the $67,800 level, which had acted as strong support and has now flipped into resistance. As long as price remains below this area, upside attempts are likely to face pressure.
Immediate resistance sits around $67,800–$68,000.
If the triangle breaks to the downside, the next support to watch is near $64,700.
For now, the bias remains neutral, but slightly tilted bearish due to the loss of major support and weakening structure.
A clean breakout above the triangle, and a reclaim of $67,800, would shift sentiment and improve the short-term outlook.
@Bitcoin.com $BTC #Bitcoin❗
#btc
A key structural shift occurred after losing the $67,800 level, which had acted as strong support and has now flipped into resistance. As long as price remains below this area, upside attempts are likely to face pressure.
Immediate resistance sits around $67,800–$68,000.
If the triangle breaks to the downside, the next support to watch is near $64,700.
For now, the bias remains neutral, but slightly tilted bearish due to the loss of major support and weakening structure.
A clean breakout above the triangle, and a reclaim of $67,800, would shift sentiment and improve the short-term outlook.
@Bitcoin.com $BTC #Bitcoin❗
#btc
BTC
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $65,684.86, showing a 24-hour change of -2.71%. Over the last week, the price has fallen by -7.01%, and its monthly performance shows a -25.57% decrease. Annually, Bitcoin has decreased by -31.29%.
Here's a breakdown of current market trends and factors influencing Bitcoin's price:
Current Market Sentiment & Price Action:
Bitcoin has seen recent volatility, with fluctuations around the $60,000 to $70,000 range.
The overall crypto market is currently shrinking, with a total market capitalization decrease of 5.90% from last week.
Despite some recent declines, there are signs of tentative improvement in sentiment as US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recorded significant inflows.
However, uncertainty persists among traders regarding whether the market has fully recovered from recent downturns.
Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price:
Supply and Demand: Bitcoin has a limited supply of 21 million coins, creating scarcity. Its price is primarily driven by the dynamics of supply and demand.
Halving Events: Historically, Bitcoin halving events, which reduce the reward for miners and thus the rate of new Bitcoin production, have preceded significant bull markets. The last halving occurred in 2024, and the next is projected for 2028.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: Investor sentiment, often influenced by media coverage, regulatory news, and global economic conditions, significantly impacts Bitcoin's value. Speculative trading and investor emotions can lead to considerable price fluctuations.
Regulatory Developments: Government regulations play a crucial role, with how each government handles cryptocurrencies directly affecting Bitcoin's value.
Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation and interest rates, also influence Bitcoin's price. During periods of high inflation, Bitcoin can be seen as a store of value.
Technological Advancements: Continuous technological development and updates within the Bitcoin network can also be a key factor.
Liquidity: While Bitcoin's market is large, it can be prone to price swings due to changes in liquidity, where large buy or sell orders can have a disproportionate effect.
#btc #bitcoin $BTC
Here's a breakdown of current market trends and factors influencing Bitcoin's price:
Current Market Sentiment & Price Action:
Bitcoin has seen recent volatility, with fluctuations around the $60,000 to $70,000 range.
The overall crypto market is currently shrinking, with a total market capitalization decrease of 5.90% from last week.
Despite some recent declines, there are signs of tentative improvement in sentiment as US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recorded significant inflows.
However, uncertainty persists among traders regarding whether the market has fully recovered from recent downturns.
Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price:
Supply and Demand: Bitcoin has a limited supply of 21 million coins, creating scarcity. Its price is primarily driven by the dynamics of supply and demand.
Halving Events: Historically, Bitcoin halving events, which reduce the reward for miners and thus the rate of new Bitcoin production, have preceded significant bull markets. The last halving occurred in 2024, and the next is projected for 2028.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: Investor sentiment, often influenced by media coverage, regulatory news, and global economic conditions, significantly impacts Bitcoin's value. Speculative trading and investor emotions can lead to considerable price fluctuations.
Regulatory Developments: Government regulations play a crucial role, with how each government handles cryptocurrencies directly affecting Bitcoin's value.
Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation and interest rates, also influence Bitcoin's price. During periods of high inflation, Bitcoin can be seen as a store of value.
Technological Advancements: Continuous technological development and updates within the Bitcoin network can also be a key factor.
Liquidity: While Bitcoin's market is large, it can be prone to price swings due to changes in liquidity, where large buy or sell orders can have a disproportionate effect.
#btc #bitcoin $BTC
$BTC
#btc
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency launched in 2009 by the pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a peer-to-peer network using blockchain technology, a distributed ledger that records transactions transparently and immutably without relying on a central authority like a bank or government. Bitcoin transactions are verified through cryptographic consensus (proof-of-work mining), which secures the network and issues new coins at a controlled rate, capped at 21 million. As the first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is commonly used as a store of value, a speculative investment, and a medium for cross-border digital payments
#btc
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency launched in 2009 by the pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a peer-to-peer network using blockchain technology, a distributed ledger that records transactions transparently and immutably without relying on a central authority like a bank or government. Bitcoin transactions are verified through cryptographic consensus (proof-of-work mining), which secures the network and issues new coins at a controlled rate, capped at 21 million. As the first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is commonly used as a store of value, a speculative investment, and a medium for cross-border digital payments
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