qe

Investor Ray Dalio warns that the Federal Reserve is set to end its balance sheet reduction (QT) and may start economic stimulus (QE) from December 1, 2025 to boost growth.

Dalio cautions that stimulating the economy when growth is normal, unemployment is low, and asset prices are soaring signals a late-cycle risk (~75-year cycle) — potentially more dangerous than opportunistic.

He also notes that the government’s huge debt and budget deficits mean QE might mostly fund public debt rather than help the private sector. The consequences: rising inflation, weaker currency, and traditionally safe assets like gold or Bitcoin may become the go-to safe havens.

💭 Takeaway: Investors should monitor U.S. bond yields, the dollar index, inflation, and Fed policy closely. For crypto, stimulus could provide short-term gains but also heightens bubble risk.
$BTC $SOL
#fed #QE #bitcoin #SafeHaven #EconomyBubble

Quantitative Easing (QE) Explained 🏦
Quantitative Easing (QE) is an unconventional monetary policy used by a central bank (like the U.S. Federal Reserve or the Bank of England) to stimulate the economy, primarily when standard interest rate cuts are no longer effective. It is also known as Large-Scale Asset Purchases.
What It Is and How It Works
QE is essentially an electronic way for a central bank to increase the money supply and inject liquidity into the financial system.
Asset Purchases: The central bank buys large quantities of financial assets, most commonly long-term government bonds and, sometimes, other securities (like mortgage-backed securities), directly from commercial banks and other financial institutions.
Liquidity Injection: The central bank doesn't use existing money; it electronically creates new money to pay for these assets. This process pumps new cash reserves into the banks.
Lowering Rates: This increased demand for bonds drives up their price and, consequently, lowers their yield (interest rate). This, in turn, helps drive down long-term interest rates across the broader economy.
Why Central Banks Use QE
The primary goal of QE is to promote borrowing, lending, and spending when the economy is struggling with low growth and low inflation.
Stimulating Demand: Lowering long-term interest rates makes it cheaper for businesses and consumers to take out loans for investment (capital projects) and purchases (houses, cars).
Encouraging Lending: The extra cash reserves held by commercial banks are intended to encourage them to increase lending to the public.
Last Resort Tool: QE is typically reserved for extreme economic situations, such as a major financial crisis or a severe recession, when the central bank has already lowered its primary short-term interest rate to near zero (the "zero lower bound").
For example, the Bank of England has used QE to lower borrowing costs, support economic spending, and help meet its 2% inflation target.
#QuantitativeEasing #CentralBank #MonetaryPolicy #QE