usretailsalesrise

According to Odaily, the United States' retail sales for August recorded a monthly increase of 0.1%, surpassing the expected decline of 0.2%. The previous month's figure was revised from 1.00% to 1.1%. The retail sales control group for August also matched expectations at 0.3%, with the prior value adjusted from 0.30% to 0.4%. Additionally, core retail sales for August saw a monthly rise of 0.1%, which was below the anticipated 0.2%, and the previous month's figure was revised from 0.40% to 0.4%.

To test the #USRetailSalesMissForecast strategy, I’ve backtested how a 5% portfolio allocation performed during previous "Extreme Fear" zones (F&G Index below 10) compared to our current 2026 climate.

📉 Historical Backtest (The "Blood in the Streets" Entry)
Event (Fear Index < 10)Entry Price (Approx.)6-Month Return12-Month Return2018 Dec (Bear Bottom)~$3,200+280%+130%2020 Mar (COVID Crash)~$4,100+160%+1,200%2022 Nov (FTX Crash)~$15,800+85%+140%2026 Feb (Current Dip)$60,000–$68,000Simulating...Target: $120k+

🔬 2026 Scenario Analysis: The "Retail Miss" Ripple
Our current drop from the $126,000 peak is a -45% correction. While painful, history shows that when the Sharpe Ratio hits negative levels (as it just did this week), we are in the "Late-Stage Correction" phase.
The "Simulated" Outcome:
Bullish Case: If the Fed pivots due to the retail miss, BTC follows the 2020 recovery path. A 5% allocation at $68,000 could recover to $115,000 by Q4 2026 (a +69% gain).Bearish Case: If $60,000 snaps, we likely drift to $43,000 (the "Time Exhaustion" bottom). Your 5% allocation would see a temporary -30% drawdown before the next halving cycle kicks in.

⚡️ Your Strategy Adjustments:
Don't FOMO the Wick: The 4-hour RSI is at 17—historically, this is the "oversold" floor. Wait for the RSI to cross back above 30 before deploying the next tranche.Watch the DXY: If the Dollar Index drops below 102 following the retail news, it’s the "Green Light" for risk assets.$BTC
$USDC
$BNB
#USRetailSalesRise #Bitcoin❗ #TradingSignals #btcup #USRetailBoom

Getting tons of messages asking for my Hamster price prediction, so here’s the breakdown:

Let’s crunch some quick numbers using recent launchpool token data to estimate Hamster’s potential launch price. Most recent tokens launched with market caps between $250M and $360M. I’m excluding $DOGS from that range since it had a huge community—but let’s be real, Hamster’s is even larger. So we’ll look at that separately.

At launch, Hamster will have a circulating supply of 63 billion tokens. Based on a $250M–$360M market cap, that would put the price roughly between $0.004 and $0.0055.

Now, looking at $DOGS, which launched with a massive $620M market cap—if Hamster hits the same figure, we could be looking at a launch price close to $0.0100.

Just to be clear, this is my personal estimate. I’m not expecting anything crazy from Hamster—definitely not the $1 or $5 some people are predicting. That seems highly unrealistic.

What’s your prediction?
#BinanceLaunchpoolHMSTR #FTXSolanaRedemption #USRetailSalesRise

The Hamster (HMSTR) token launch is just around the corner, with only 3 days left in the Launchpool event! With a massive total airdrop of 30 billion tokens, the excitement is already building.

The FDUSD and BNB pools have seen huge participation, with over 97,000 users locking in over 1 billion FDUSD and another 95,000 participants locking in more than 1 million BNB.

The momentum for this project is unstoppable, and the clock is ticking as we approach the official launch.

Based on current market buzz and token economics, the predicted launch price for Hamster (HMSTR) is estimated to fall between $0.05 and $0.1.

This price range offers a potentially lucrative entry for early adopters, and the ongoing enthusiasm suggests a strong debut for the token.

If you're considering a stake, now is the time to lock in your assets and join the action before the project goes live.

Don't miss the opportunity to be part of this highly anticipated launch.

#BinanceLaunchpoolHMSTR #HamsterTapTap #HamsterKombat #BTCReboundsAfterFOMC #USRetailSalesRise