📉 ETH Market Analysis: Searching for the Bottom
Ethereum is currently in a "Price Discovery" phase to the downside, trading far below all major daily exponential moving averages (EMAs). The recent weekly performance shows a drop of nearly 30%, signaling a persistent downtrend.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Current Status: ETH has recently tested lows around $1,935 - $2,060, levels not seen since mid-2025.
The RSI Factor: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nearing historical lows (approx. 27–34), which often precedes local bounces but has not yet confirmed a full trend reversal.
Momentum: The MACD remains deeply negative and expanding, suggesting that the sell-off may still have active legs.
📉 How Much Lower Can It Go? (The Floor)
If the current support at $2,000 fails to hold, analysts point to several "Safety Net" zones:
$1,800 - $1,850: A major psychological and technical support area where buyers previously stepped in heavily.
$1,500: An "Ultra-Bearish" target if macro-economic headwinds or geopolitical tensions (like the recent U.S.-Iran friction) intensify.
🚀 How Much Higher Can It Go? (The Ceiling)
For a recovery to be considered sustainable, Ethereum must reclaim:
$2,450 - $2,600: The first major hurdle where the 200 EMA sits on lower timeframes.
$2,800 - $3,000: Reclaiming the $3,000 psychological barrier is essential to restore market confidence.
$3,600 - $7,000: Long-term targets remain ambitious, with some patterns suggesting a move toward $7,000 if an "Inverse Head and Shoulders" structure completes later this year.
💡 Professional Trading Strategy
When to BUY:
Accumulation: Look for entries between $1,900 and $2,100. This "Hope-Fear" zone has historically preceded rallies.
Confirmation: A daily close above $2,690 would significantly increase the likelihood of a structural reversal.
When to SELL:
Take Profit: Scale out near the $2,800 - $3,000 resistance zone, as heavy supply is expected there.
Stop Loss: A decisive break below $1,900 could lead to a rapid slide toward $1,500,