Updated Perspective: The Path to a Potential Cycle Low
Following my earlier analysis pointing to a ~$25,000 Bitcoin cycle low in 2026, Bitcoin has now declined to the $60,000 region. For many, this already feels like capitulation. Price is down sharply, sentiment has flipped bearish, and the narrative has shifted from “new highs” to “cycle broken” in record time.
Why This Doesn’t Invalidate the Thesis:
Historically, major cycle lows are not formed during the first wave of decline. They develop much later, after:
Multiple failed rebounds
Prolonged boredom and low volatility
Declining volume and participation
Widespread belief that “crypto is done”
What we are seeing now resembles early-to-mid cycle compression, not final exhaustion. True bear market lows are slow, grinding, and emotionally numbing—they arrive with apathy, not drama.
If the model is directionally correct:
Moves like $60,000 are not the end of pain—they are part of the process that resets expectations. The market needs time to erase hope, not just price.
Key Takeaway Remains Unchanged:
The opportunity is not about predicting the exact bottom. It’s about being mentally and strategically prepared to act when conviction is gone.
Markets don’t bottom when fear is loud—they bottom when nobody is left to speak. If this cycle follows that path, the real accumulation phase won’t feel exciting; it will feel pointless. And that’s typically where long-term wealth is built—quietly.
#BTC #BTC60KResistance #BitcoinDropMarketImpact
