🔴 BTC/USDT ANALYSIS — February 7, 2026

💰 Price: $69,007

📊 CURRENT SITUATION:

Bounce from extreme oversold zones (4H BrainWaves -27, Daily -75). Lower timeframes (15M-30M) BULLISH, but all higher timeframes (12H-Weekly) remain BEARISH.

🎯 TARGET:

$70,000-$70,500 — massive liquidation zone (shorts). Price will likely sweep this level.

⚠️ WARNING:

12H: Bearish manipulation (6 bars ago), exhaustion 86%
Weekly: BW -60 FALLING, exhaustion only 25% (fresh move)
Monthly: Momentum declining, RSI 42 falling


🟢 BULLISH FACTORS:

✅ Extremely oversold (4H, 12H, Daily)

✅ Bullish divergence on 1H, 1D, 1W

✅ 4H Extreme Oversold Cross signal

✅ Liquidation magnet $70k-$70.5k

🔴 BEARISH FACTORS:

❌ All higher TFs (12H+) BEARISH

❌ Weekly exhaustion 25% = room to fall

❌ Monthly momentum declining

❌ Efficiency 500% on Weekly = explosive move down

💡 TRADING PLAN:
SHORT-TERM (1-2 days):

📈 LONG: $68,900-$69,100 → TP $70,500

🛑 Stop: $68,367

⚠️ Risk: Decent — trading against higher TFs

BEST SETUP (2-5 days):

📉 SHORT: $70,000-$70,500 (sweep zone)

🛑 Stop: $71,000

🎯 TP1: $69,007 (R:R 1.7:1)

🎯 TP2: $68,367 (R:R 2.3:1)

🎯 TP3: $66,500 (R:R 5.0:1)

🎯 TP4: $60,000 (R:R 14:1 if breakdown continues)

✅ Confirmation for SHORT:

Volume spike at $70k-$70.5k
Bearish engulfing
BW 15M/30M → FALLING
RSI divergence

🔄 SITUATION CHANGES IF:

Close above $70,500 with volume → invalidates bearish thesis

⚖️ BOTTOM LINE:

This is a relief bounce within a larger downtrend — NOT a reversal. Wait for sweep, SHORT the rejection, target liquidation clusters below.

📌 Key Levels:

Resistance: $69,692 | $70,500 | $72,000

Support: $68,367 | $66,500 | $60,000

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