$TRIA Trade Bias: SHORT 📉

Why this works:

The HTF (1H/4H) narrative is unequivocally bearish. Price has violently broken below all major EMAs and the Supertrend, confirming a strong downtrend. The current LTF (15m) bounce is a textbook retest of broken support, now acting as resistance near the EMA(9) cluster and Bollinger Band midline.

Psychology: Retail is blindly "buying the dip" after a -12% drop, hoping for reversal. But the massive volume on the breakdown and consistent negative funding rates tell the real story: smart money is distributing. This bounce is a liquidity grab to trap hopeful longs before the next leg down.

Execution:

· Entry Zone: 0.01535 - 0.01555 (into resistance)

· Stop Loss: 0.01585 (above the local high & EMA(15)) ⚠️

· TP1: 0.01480 (recent low)

· TP2: 0.01430 (24h low sweep)

· TP3: 0.01350 (measured move)

· RRR: 1:4+ 💣

Invalidation: A sustained 15m close above 0.01590 invalidates the bearish structure and suggests a deeper squeeze is underway. Until then, I’m fading this weak bounce into the path of maximum pain for late buyers. The alignment is too clean to ignore.