$ARC Trade Bias: LONG 📈

Why this works:

The HTF (1H/4H) shows a powerful bullish impulse that broke through all major EMAs. The current LTF (15m) action is a controlled pullback into a key confluence zone: the EMA(50) support and the Bollinger Band midline, right at the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the last leg up. Momentum is resetting (RSI neutral) on low volume—this is accumulation, not distribution.

Psychology: Retail is panicking after the -11% dip, seeing it as breakdown. But smart money is reloading long positions into this liquidity sweep of weak hands. The consistently positive funding rates tell me bulls are still paying to stay in.

Execution:

· Entry Zone: 0.0628 - 0.0633 (confluence support)

· Stop Loss: 0.0618 (below the pullback low & BB lower band) ⚠️

· TP1: 0.0665 (reclaim of EMA(9) & prior high)

· TP2: 0.0695 (HTF resistance break)

· TP3: 0.0720 (measured move extension)

· RRR: 1:3.5 💣

Invalidation: A sustained 15m close below 0.0615 would signal failed structure and trap longs. But with bids stacking on the book and HTF trend intact, I’m buying this dip into strength. The alignment favors the bulls resuming control.