đš MARKET ALERT | Japan Rate Shock Incoming đŻđ”đ„
Bank of America signals the Bank of Japan may hike rates to 1.00% in April â a level not seen since the mid-1990s.
đ Why it matters:
âą Japan is a cheap-money hub & major global holder
âą Last time rates hit this zone:
ââą 1994: âGreat Bond Massacreâ wiped $1.5T from bonds
ââą USD/JPY collapsed to ~79.75
ââą Global stress stacked; cuts followed later
đĄ Transmission Mechanism:
âą Japan holds $1.2T in U.S. Treasuries
âą Rate hike triggers:
ââą Yen carry trades unwind
ââą Funding costs spike
ââą Bonds wobble
ââą Risk assets reprice fast
â ïž Bottom line:
Markets havenât fully priced this yet.
Tightening in a fragile system = fast, global reactions.
đ Watch closely: JPY, funding markets, bonds. This is where the first warning lights flash.