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🚨 Cognitive Reset: The Bull Market Doesn’t Start After the Halving — It Starts Before. Most people wait for the halving. Smart money positions months earlier. What the data actually shows…
• Nov 2022 bottom: $15K
• Bull trend ignited: Sep 2023 ~$25K (≈5 months before 2024 halving)
• By Jan 2024, price already exceeded the previous cycle high
📈 Returns comparison
✅ Pre-halving move: 15K → 69K (+176%)
❌ Post-halving move: ~+82%
👉 The market consistently prices the narrative in advance
🧠 Pattern insight
Markets don’t wait for confirmation.
They front-run expectations.
⏳ Next cycle framework (projection, not advice)
🔑 Accumulation window: Oct–Dec 2026
🚀 Trend ignition: From Aug 2027
🔥 Acceleration phase: Before Dec 2027 or after breaking prior highs
💰 Distribution period: 2028–2029
📌 Strategy takeaway
You don’t need to catch the absolute bottom.
For most people, structured accumulation > perfect timing.
💬 Discussion
Do you agree the bull market comes earlier than most expect?
How are you planning your cycle positioning?
⚠️ This is a historical pattern discussion and personal framework, not investment advice.
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