Ethereum is showing some seriously familiar vibes right now. If youâve been in the space for a while, this "deja vu" isn't just a feelingâitâs in the data.
âThe Cycle Comparison
â2021 Cycle: Started at $300 and rocketed to $4,900. The original moonshot.
â2024 Cycle: Started at $1,500 and peaked at $4,000. The institutional test.
â2025 Cycle: Started at $1,350 and target is $4,990? The current fractal đ
â⥠Why This Matters
âWe aren't just looking at random candles; weâre looking at a consistent psychological loop. The pattern usually follows a strict sequence:
âThe Shakeout: Fear-inducing drops that flush out "weak hands."
âThe Accumulation: Smart money quietly building positions while the crowd panics.
âThe Recovery: A steady climb that catches the skeptics off guard.
âThe Alpha: Smart money doesn't FOMO into the green candles at the top. They load up when the RSI is screaming "oversold" and the sentiment is "fear." đ§
âđ§ The Playbook
âWe appear to be in the pre-expansion phase. Despite the current market pressure and price hovering near the critical $2,000 level here in February 2026, history suggests the sequence is almost always: Oversold đ â Accumulation đ â New ATH đ
âPatience is the highest-paid skill in crypto. Bookmark this, keep your head cool, and watch the structure play out.
