😳🚹XRP on the Edge of Explosion: Is the $4.40 Mega Rally Already Loading for 2026?❓🚀

On the $XRP front, both the long-term ascending channel support and the widely discussed $4.40 target for Q1 2026 are heating up the narrative. The key question investors are asking: “Is this a dip being tested, or the start of a new rally?”

As of February 12, #XRP is trading around the $1.36–$1.37 range after a notable pullback over the past 30 days. While short-term price action looks weak, some analysts argue this correction may be opening a window of opportunity in the bigger picture.

An analyst known as Arthur on X points to a rising channel structure that has been in play for nearly nine years on the monthly chart. The lower boundary of this channel sits around $0.85–$0.95. According to him, a move toward that zone could present a potential accumulation area for “smart money.” From current levels, that scenario would imply further downside before any major reversal.

Arthur also highlights volume dynamics. He notes that the historic surge in volume seen between late 2020 and early 2021 was not replicated at the same scale during the 2024 rally, suggesting that full institutional participation may not have returned yet.

For Q1 2026, the most bullish scenario assumes continued momentum in spot XRP ETFs and progress on U.S. regulatory clarity, including developments around the CLARITY Act. Under those conditions, price projections extend toward $4.40. More conservative forecasts place XRP in the $2.40–$2.60 range, while weaker ETF demand or rising macro risks could push price back toward $1.45–$1.52.

Meanwhile, derivatives data shows a sharp decline in open interest across major exchanges, indicating leverage has been flushed out. Such resets often precede the formation of a new trend. Since late 2025, XRP ETFs have reportedly attracted $1.23 billion in inflows, and improving regulatory visibility around Ripple continues to support the longer-term bullish thesis.

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