Technical & Fundamental Analysis – Feb 13, 2026
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📊 MARKET SNAPSHOT
Metric Value
Current Price $66,523
24h Change +2.1%
Recent Low $65,118
RSI (6) 54.27
MACD Histogram +54.36 (Bullish crossover forming)
EMA 7 $66,346
EMA 25 $66,655
Bollinger Mid $66,688
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🎯 THE BIG PICTURE
Bitcoin just did something it hasn't done in 10 days:
It held $65,000 and bounced.
After breaking down from $70K, the market has been in pure capitulation mode. But since yesterday, structure is changing.
✅ Support held
✅ Price back above EMA 7
✅ MACD histogram positive for first time
✅ RSI out of oversold
This is the first credible recovery signal since the breakdown.
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🧭 KEY LEVELS – 1H CHART
Level Type Significance
$66,688 Resistance Bollinger Mid – Break = bullish confirmation
$66,655 Resistance EMA 25 – Trend reversal trigger
$66,346 Support EMA 7 – Must hold for momentum
$64,818 Support Bollinger Lower – Major floor
$65,118 Support Recent low – Defended successfully
Bullish scenario:
Break above $66,688 → Target $67,500 → $68,000
Bearish scenario:
Lose $66,346 → Re-test $65,000 → Possible $64,800
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🟢 BULLISH – WHAT THE MARKET IS IGNORING
1. INSTITUTIONAL ACCUMULATION
· $1B converted into 15,000 BTC by a major fund
· Binance SAFU: Now holds 10,455+ BTC
· MicroStrategy: Continues buying
· BlackRock/JPMorgan: $150–250K targets maintained
2. REGULATORY PROGRESS
· Thailand: BTC approved as underlying asset for derivatives
· Hong Kong: Margin trading authorized with BTC/ETH as collateral
· US Senate: Pro-crypto bill in active discussion
3. BOTTOM SIGNALS
· Negative funding rates
· High spot volume during dip
· RSI hit oversold and recovered
· Whale accumulation detected between $64–66K
📌 The market is ignoring these. That is textbook bear trap behavior.
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🔴 BEARISH – REAL RISKS (Already Priced In)
· Strong USD / High rates: Fed cuts delayed
· Retail sentiment: Extremely bearish (6+ posts predicting $35–50K)
· $65K support: Still fragile, break would open $62–64K
· MACD: Still negative, needs confirmation
But: Most of this is already in the price.
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🧠 WHAT THE PROS ARE SAYING
Amr Taha (Whale Screener):
"Whales are accumulating between $64K and $66K. Supply is moving to strong hands."
Binance AI Summary:
"Bitcoin faced a significant price retreat, but institutional accumulation and regulatory progress continue."
Community Sentiment:
· Retail: Heavily bearish
· Smart money: Accumulating silently
This is how bottoms are built.
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📈 SCENARIOS – NEXT 24/48H
🟢 SCENARIO 1: BULLISH BREAKOUT (55%)
· Hold above $66,346
· Break $66,688 with volume
· Target: $67,500 → $68,000
🔴 SCENARIO 2: RE-TEST SUPPORT (35%)
· Rejection at $66,688
· Pullback to $65,500–66,000
· Healthy consolidation
⚫ SCENARIO 3: BREAKDOWN (10%)
· Lose $65,000
· Target: $64,000 → $63,200
· Requires macro shock
Most likely: Bounce and consolidation between $65,500–67,000.
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🎯 TRADING STRATEGY – FEB 13
FOR ACTIVE TRADERS:
Long setup:
· Entry: $66,350–66,450 (pullback)
· Stop: $66,000
· Target 1: $66,688
· Target 2: $67,500
Breakout setup:
· Entry: Above $66,700
· Stop: $66,200
· Target: $67,500 → $68,000
FOR INVESTORS:
· DCA zone: $65,000–66,500
· Add more: If $64,000 prints
· Time horizon: 6–12 months
RISK MANAGEMENT:
· Leverage: Max 2–3x
· Position size: 50% of normal
· Stop losses: Mandatory
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🧭 WHAT I'M WATCHING NOW
Indicator Signal
$66,688 Break = bullish confirmation
Volume Need >$50B on green candles
EMA 25 Cross above = trend reversal
ETF flows Watch for slowdown in outflows
Whale wallets Accumulation continues?
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📢 FINAL TAKE
We are in a transition phase.
· The panic is fading.
· Support is holding.
· Institutions are buying.
· Retail is scared.
This is exactly how recoveries begin.
Not with a bang.
Not with euphoria.
With silence. With accumulation. With disbelief.
Bitcoin held $65K.
That matters more than most realize.
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💬 WHAT DO YOU THINK?
Are we at the bottom?
Or is this just a dead cat bounce?
Drop a comment. Let's discuss.
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#bitcoin #BTC☀ #CapitulationSetup #Accumulation #Whales #BinanceSquare #Feb132026 #CryptoAnalysis #trading
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📊 Independent analysis – DYOR – Not financial advice.$ETH