🚨 BITCOIN IS NOT DUMPING RANDOMLY — IT’S FOLLOWING A CYCLE
(BEST MOMENT)
Everyone is watching price.
Almost no one is watching time.
That’s why most people miss the best entries every single cycle.
👇 Here’s the framework I use to stay ahead.
🔹 BITCOIN MOVES ON TWO AXES
TIME + PRICE
Most traders track only price.
Professionals track both.
⏱️ AXIS 1: TIME (THE EDGE MOST IGNORE)
Days from ATH ➝ cycle bottom after each halving:
• 2012 → 406 days
• 2016 → 363 days
• 2020 → 376 days
• 2024 → still forming
Different narratives.
Different macro.
Same timing rhythm.
📌 If this cycle aligns, the highest-probability bottom window is:
🟦 October – November 2026
When that window hits, I buy regardless of price.
Time cannot be front-run.
💰 AXIS 2: PRICE (VALUE COMES BEFORE PERFECTION)
I started buying when BTC entered the $60,000 zone.
Not because it’s the final bottom —
but because waiting for “perfect levels” is how you miss the move.
Retail says:
“I’ll buy at X price.”
Market says:
“Then watch from the sidelines.”
⚠️ RISK IS STILL REAL
On-chain indicator I trust most: NUPL.
It marked: • 2018 bottom
• COVID crash
• 2022 low
We are not in the deep loss zone yet.
That’s why I wouldn’t be surprised to see BTC $45K–$50K by late 2026.
That’s where I’d go heavy.
📌 MY EXECUTION PLAN (NO EMOTION)
✅ TIME trigger
→ Oct–Nov 2026 = BUY, no matter the price
✅ PRICE trigger
→ Below $60K = BUY, no matter the time
If either hits → systematic accumulation.
No noise.
No arguing.
No FOMO.
🧠 FINAL THOUGHT
Price is what everyone sees.
Time is what actually moves cycles.
This messy phase will pass.
It always does.
Those who survive aren’t the loudest —
they’re the ones with a framework.
Follow if you want the warning before the headlines.