🚹 $BTC – Low Price, High Opportunity 🚹

EOY Projection: ~$160K

📍 Spot Price: $66.3K

📈 Power-Law Fair Value: $123.4K

📉 Current Discount: -$57.1K (-46.3%)

đŸ”„ Most Important Metric:

BTC is trading at a -46.3% discount to its long-term trend — historically, such deviations tend to mean-revert.

📊 On-Chain & Statistical Signals:

‱ Z-Score: -0.89 → Near oversold zone

‱ Mean-Reversion Half-Life: 4.4 months ($107K equilibrium zone)

‱ Strongest Predictive Horizon: **18 months ($195K)**

‱ 18M Signal Strength:

r = -0.7857

RÂČ = 0.6174

p = 0.0121 → Statistically strong

⚙ Gamma Flip Price: $68,132

📆 Liquidity Release Timeline:

‱ 13 Feb: $63M (20.9%) → Immediate pin release

‱ 27 Feb: $64M (21.2%) → Second major release wave

‱ Combined by Feb 27: $152M (50.5%)

📌 Outlook:

Short term → Expect volatility ⚡

Medium to long term → Structure remains bullish as price works to close the trend gap.

Historically, large deviations from trend don’t last forever.

#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BinanceFutures

$BTC

BTC
BTCUSDT
69,883.1
+1.44%