đš $BTC â Low Price, High Opportunity đš
EOY Projection: ~$160K
đ Spot Price: $66.3K
đ Power-Law Fair Value: $123.4K
đ Current Discount: -$57.1K (-46.3%)
đ„ Most Important Metric:
BTC is trading at a -46.3% discount to its long-term trend â historically, such deviations tend to mean-revert.
đ On-Chain & Statistical Signals:
âą Z-Score: -0.89 â Near oversold zone
âą Mean-Reversion Half-Life: 4.4 months ($107K equilibrium zone)
âą Strongest Predictive Horizon: **18 months ($195K)**
âą 18M Signal Strength:
r = -0.7857
RÂČ = 0.6174
p = 0.0121 â Statistically strong
âïž Gamma Flip Price: $68,132
đ Liquidity Release Timeline:
âą 13 Feb: $63M (20.9%) â Immediate pin release
âą 27 Feb: $64M (21.2%) â Second major release wave
âą Combined by Feb 27: $152M (50.5%)
đ Outlook:
Short term â Expect volatility âĄ
Medium to long term â Structure remains bullish as price works to close the trend gap.
Historically, large deviations from trend donât last forever.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BinanceFutures
