Polymarket odds for a new US 🇺🇸 government shutdown starting by tomorrow (Feb 14, 2026) have plunged to just 26% down sharply from highs over 70% earlier this week 📉
Markets are pricing in a much higher chance Congress pulls off a last minute deal or extends things somehow, especially with the weekend & recess timing.
The chart shows that probability line dropping hard over the last few days …good vibes for risk assets, less uncertainty means less reason for knee jerk selling.
Is this Bullish signal for stocks/#crypto?
Markets hate shutdown drama, so this de-risking move is a clear positive