đš EUROPEâS GAS SHOCK ISNâT OVER
Prices collapsed from 2022 highs.
But they didnât reset to pre crisis norms.
âą TTF peaked above âŹ300/MWh in 2022
âą JKM surged above $60/MMBtu
âą 2025â26 levels still structurally higher than 2019
âą EU power prices remain above US & China
Look at industry power costs:
âą #Italy & #Germany still elevated
âą EU average > US average
âą #China & US structurally cheaper
Why?
âą #LNG import dependence
âą Loss of cheap Russian pipeline gas
âą Volatile global gas linkage
This is structural cost inflation.
If gas stays globally priced:
âą European industry loses margin
âą Deindustrialisation risk rises
âą US gains manufacturing edge
Gas isnât just fuel.
Itâs competitiveness.
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