🚹 EUROPE’S GAS SHOCK ISN’T OVER

Prices collapsed from 2022 highs.

But they didn’t reset to pre crisis norms.

‱ TTF peaked above €300/MWh in 2022

‱ JKM surged above $60/MMBtu

‱ 2025–26 levels still structurally higher than 2019

‱ EU power prices remain above US & China

Look at industry power costs:

‱ #Italy & #Germany still elevated

‱ EU average > US average

‱ #China & US structurally cheaper

Why?

‱ #LNG import dependence

‱ Loss of cheap Russian pipeline gas

‱ Volatile global gas linkage

This is structural cost inflation.

If gas stays globally priced:

‱ European industry loses margin

‱ Deindustrialisation risk rises

‱ US gains manufacturing edge

Gas isn’t just fuel.

It’s competitiveness.

#oott #NatGas #Russia

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