BITCOIN IS FOLLOWING THE SAME PLAYBOOK AS 2017 & 2021 — ARE YOU READY?
$BTC is not moving randomly.
It’s moving on TIME + PRICE.
Most traders only watch candles.
Smart money watches cycles.
Right now, Bitcoin is repeating a very familiar historical structure — and if the pattern holds, the next phase could shock the market.
BTC COULD DROP TO $35,000 IN DAYS” — BUT THAT’S NOT THE REAL STORY
Yes, short-term volatility is brutal.
Yes, a deeper dip is possible.
But the real opportunity isn’t the panic — it’s understanding where we are in the cycle.
This framework uses two axes:
### ⏱️ 1) TIME AXIS (Most Traders Ignore This)
Days from ATH → Cycle Bottom after each halving:
*2012:** 406 days
*2016:** 363 days
*2020:** 376 days
*2024:** ⏳ still unfolding
These numbers are extremely close.
If history rhymes, the highest-probability bottom window is:
October – November 2026
When that time window hits — BUY, regardless of price.
That’s how you avoid being front-run.
2) PRICE AXIS (Where Value Appears)
While TIME defines when, PRICE defines how aggressive you get.
Below *$60,000** → High-value accumulation zone
* Waiting for “perfect price” = missing the move
* Markets don’t reward hesitation
Retail waits.
Professionals scale in.
WHY THIS STRATEGY WORKS
Back when BTC was trading near six figures, many said:
> “$60K will never come again.
Noise is temporary.
Structure is permanent.
The plan stays the same:
PRICE gives value Buy
f TIME hits the cycle window → Buy harder**
Simple. Ruthless. Effective.
THE FINAL CONFIRMATION: NUPL INDICATOR
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) has historically marked true cycle bottoms:
* 2018 crash
* COVID crash
* 2022 bear market
Right now?
We are NOT in the historical bottom zone yet.
That’s why a $45K–$50K range by late 2026 remains a realistic ultimate bottom target.
FINAL THOUGHTS
Markets feel chaotic near bottoms.
That’s normal.
This phase will pass.
Those who understand TIME + PRICE won’t panic — they’ll position.
Smart money accumulates quietly.
Retail reacts loudly.#CPIWatch #CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast
