#MondayREDorGREEN

#Speculative

#BTC125Next?

#USpolicies

#DecisionsThatMatter

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🌤 Weekend → Monday Setup

😌 Sunday = calm, low volatility, traders rest

🕰 Monday = trigger time, macro news and flows will hit

⚡ First 3–8 hours Monday matter most

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🏛 Macro Shutdown Mood & Probabilities

🟥 ~55% → Shutdown continues → more fear, red pressure

🟨 ~25% → Negotiations ongoing → muddled, indecision

🟩 ~20% → Positive resolution hints → green sentiment boost

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📊 Market Probabilities (Given BTC ~ $121,705)

🟢 Green Monday ≈ 40% → rally from optimism & liquidity

🔴 Red Monday ≈ 50% → fear, macro risk triggers

⚪ Neutral / Sideways ≈ 10% → trapped between fear & hope

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💹 Futures / Position Advice

💰 If holding profits → close 30–50% pre-Monday

🚦 Use tight stop-loss or hedge for rest positions

🟢 If BTC stays above key support zones (e.g. ~$120k) → hold remaining

🔻 If breaks support fast → reduce exposure, wait for reset

$BTC

BTC

69,081.99

-0.93%

$ETH

ETH

2,008.2

-3.51%

$DAM

DAM

Alpha

0.016956

-5.43%