Philadelphia just became ground zero for a seismic Fed shift.
At the NABE summit, Jerome Powell didnât whisper â he detonated:
> âThe labor market has weakened â layoffs are rising, hiring is slowing, and confidence is slipping.â
Wall Street didnât blink. It roared.
đ Two rate cuts now locked in â October and December â each 25 bps.
The Fedâs war on inflation is giving way to a rescue mission for employment.
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đ§ BEHIND THE CURTAIN: THE REAL SIGNAL
Powellâs composed delivery masked a deeper unraveling:
- đ Layoffs accelerating while job openings evaporate.
- đ Hiring is easier â not because talent is abundant, but because demand is vanishing.
- âïž AI sectors surge, but the broader economy feels gutted.
- đžïž Federal data delays mean Powellâs flying blind â intuition over metrics.
This isnât just a pivot. Itâs a recalibration under pressure.
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đ„ INFLATION: STILL STICKY, BUT LOSING GRIP
Powell admitted inflationâs grip remains tight â above the 2% target.
Trade tensions with China and lingering tariffs keep prices elevated.
But the Fed sees light ahead:
> âTemporary price pressures fade.â
Translation: The inflation dragon đ is wounded â and the Fedâs sword is ready.
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đ„ MARKET PRICING: DOVISH DOUBLE STRIKE
Traders are no longer guessing â theyâre betting:
- â October: 25 bps cut
- â December: 25 bps cut
The Fedâs new mantra?
> âAct as needed to support employment.â
Even if inflation hasnât cooled, the labor market takes priority.
This is the 2025 inflection point â from inflation hawks to job saviors.
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đȘïž THE TAKEAWAY: THE FEDâS TIGHTROPE WALK
Powellâs tone? Calm. His message? Explosive.
Heâs threading the needle between economic fragility and market stability.
- đ Two cuts ahead
- đŒ Labor force weakening
- đ„ Recovery on edge
The era of âhigher-for-longerâ is over.
Welcome to âeasing-for-survival.

