đșđž Big Day Ahead: Fed Rate Cut Decision Tomorrow
The Federal Reserveâs FOMC meeting wraps up tomorrow at 2 PM ET, with markets already fully pricing in a 25 bps rate cut â so the move itself likely wonât be the surprise.
The real spotlight hits at 2:30 PM ET, when Jerome Powell takes the mic. With a cooling labor market, softer CPI data, and signs of an economic slowdown following the government shutdown, Powell has every reason to strike a dovish tone.
Hereâs where things get interesting: for the first time in 2025, bank reserves at the Fed have fallen below $3 trillion. Thatâs a strong signal the Fed may soon end its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program.
Both JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs now expect QT to wind down by the October FOMC meeting â and if Powell even hints at that tomorrow, it could trigger the first major ârisk-onâ rally of the year.
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