🔥 Why the Market Keeps Dumping on “Good” News The Real Playbook 🔥

Monday open: $BTC slices through $108K, ETH kisses $4,320, and the timeline erupts in “WTF?”

You’ve seen this movie before. Rate-cut headline drops → dopamine spike → 48-hour flush. Here’s the director’s cut:

Scene 1 The Trap

• Powell says “soft landing.”

• Retail piles 25x longs on Binance.

• Smart money prints shorts at $112K.

Scene 2 The Squeeze
Last week’s macro calendar was a liquidation machine:

• CPI hotter than expected → yields spike 22 bps in 4 hours

• FOMC dot plot holds 50 bps of cuts → “less dovish than priced”

• DXY rips to 104.80 → dollar liquidity vacuum

Result? $1.9B in longs vaporized in 36 hours. That’s not a dip; that’s a margin call waterfall.

Scene 3 The Reload
Glassnode heat-map (live):

• 1,840 BTC moved off exchanges at $107.2K

• ETH Gas spiked to 84 gwei only on deposits < $4,350

• Stablecoin reserves on Binance up $420M since Friday

Translation: Whales used your stop-loss as their entry ticket.

The 3 Day Playbook

1 Defend: $105.8K BTC | $4,280 ETH weekly VWAP + 1.8M dormant supply

2 Trigger: 4H RSI < 28 + funding flips negative → short squeeze ignition

3 Target: $116K BTC | $4,880 ETH inside 7 sessions

Volatility is the toll booth. Pay it, or sit on the sidelines.

👉 Pro tip: Watch the Fed’s balance-sheet Thursday 16:30 ET. Another $25B+ repo and this “crash” becomes the cleanest long setup of Q4.

$BTC $ETH 
#LiquidationHunting #FOMCTrap #WhaleAccumulation

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