🔥 US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) for September:

+119K (expected +50K, previous +22K / -4K)

Unemployment: 4.4% (expected 4.3%) — highest since 2021!

📊 The rundown:

The stats are much stronger than expected — best job growth in five months. Healthcare, services, and food sector are leading.

🔻 Transport, logistics, and manufacturing are still losing jobs — the structural split continues.

‼️ But the labor market isn't invincible:

Rising unemployment is a worrying sign. The Fed now faces a choice between the risk of inflation and cooling the economy. The December meeting is a real puzzle — uncertainty is at its peak.

⚡️ Market reaction — so-so.

Volatility is down. Indices bounced slightly. There’s a fleeting hope for a rate cut, but the negative scenario is already priced in.

💡 Main question:

Will the Fed cut rates in December?

— Crypto is staying cautious, reacting with a moderate drop.

— Risk appetite hasn’t returned. Liquidity isn’t fixed.

🧩 Sideways is our new reality

Don’t expect a big drop — the market’s waiting for a trigger.

🎩 P.S.: Trump already started pressuring Powell — midterms are coming! If anything turns the game, it’ll be a political pump under the Christmas tree 🎁

👇

What’s your Fed rate scenario for December? Drop your thoughts in the comments!

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