🚹 BREAKING: CPI Expectations for 2026 🔔

As of January 2026, economists expect U.S. inflation to gradually cool, moving closer to the Federal Reserve’s target—though it may remain slightly elevated due to persistent services inflation and potential tariff impacts.
The broad consensus among major financial institutions is that CPI inflation will range between 2.4% and 3.0% throughout 2026.

Key Forecasts:
đŸ‡ș🇾 Federal Reserve: CPI projected around 2.4% in 2026, still above the 2% long-term target.
đŸ‡ș🇾 Blue Chip Consensus: December 2025 survey forecasts 2.9% CPI for 2026.
đŸ‡ș🇾 J.P. Morgan: CPI expected to ease to 2.8% YoY by Q4 2026.
đŸ‡ș🇾 Bank of America: Core PCE seen near 3.1% through Q3, falling to 2.8% in Q4 2026.
đŸ‡ș🇾 Morgan Stanley: Core PCE projected to end 2026 at 2.6%.

Key Risks & Drivers:
‱ Tariffs & fiscal stimulus could keep inflation sticky above 3%
‱ Shelter inflation expected to slow toward ~3.0% by year-end
‱ Energy prices may decline, with oil potentially near $61.50/barrel
‱ Labor market softening and slower wage growth support disinflation

📈 Market Moves:

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