My Bitcoin Outlook: 📊 BTC/USDC Technical Analysis — Daily Chart (1D)

🔹 Price Structure

Support Levels:

90,000 – 90,500 USDC → immediate support / psychological equilibrium zone

88,800 – 89,000 USDC → MA(25), key dynamic support

80,500 – 81,000 USDC → major structural support (relevant swing low)

Resistance Levels:

91,800 – 92,000 USDC → MA(7), short-term resistance

94,500 – 95,000 USDC → recent highs / clear rejection zone

98,600 – 99,000 USDC → MA(99), dominant macro resistance

🔹 Moving Averages

MA(7): ~91.8k → above price, slightly sloping down → short-term pressure

MA(25): ~88.9k → rising → valid dynamic support

MA(99): ~98.6k → sloping down → macro trend still neutral

➡️ Price trapped between MA(7) and MA(25) = classic consolidation zone.

🔹 Technical Indicators

RSI (6): ~48–49 → neutral, slightly cool

Stochastic RSI: ~47 / ~65 → normalizing, no overbought conditions

Williams %R (14): ~-52 → neutral

MACD: positive, flat histogram → momentum present but not accelerating

OBV: negative and flat → no clear institutional accumulation

🔹 Volume

Low to moderate volume

Volume MA(5) slightly above MA(10), but without expansion

No signs of aggressive distribution or capitulation

➡️ Market in wait-and-see mode.

📌 Conclusion:

BTC is consolidating above 90k, respecting the MA(25) and holding the recovery from the 80.5k region. Repeated rejections around 94–95k confirm active supply, but without follow-through selling.

➡️ Holding above 90k keeps a neutral-to-bullish bias

➡️ Daily close above 92k improves short-term structure

🚀 Sustained break above 95k / MA(99) opens the path toward 100k+

⚠️ Loss of MA(25) (~88.8k) increases the risk of a deeper pullback toward 85k–80k

📈 Daily Trend:

➡️ Neutral–Bullish (consolidation)

⚠️ Momentum has weakened, but no clear reversal signals

🎯 Controlled pullbacks and range trading remain the healthiest scenario in this context.

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