#BITCOIN CYCLE TEST — TARGET, TIMING & THE TRUTH BEHIND THE STRUCTURE
👉 Everyone loves to shout price targets.
Very few understand timing.
And timing is where most traders break.
Bitcoin has never moved randomly. It moves in cycles — slow, brutal, repetitive cycles that reward patience and punish impatience.
If BTC continues to respect its historical rhythm, the data points to something uncomfortable but important:
⚠️ A potential macro bottom near $29,000 around October 2026.
This is not fear.
This is not a short-term call.
This is a probability model based on behavior Bitcoin has repeated for nearly a decade.
📊 The Cycle Framework (Quick Reality Check)
Bitcoin has printed three major cycle peaks:
2017
2021
2025
Different stories. Same rhythm. Roughly 4 years apart, followed by deep corrective phases.
⏳ What History Shows After Every Peak
Corrections last ~12 months
Average drawdown: 75–80%
Final bottoms form late, not early
If the last top formed around October 2025, the statistically relevant bottom window aligns around October 2026.
📐 Price Logic — Not Guesswork A 75–80% retracement from the recent peak brings BTC into the $28K–$32K zone.
Why ~$29K matters:
Previous high-volume consolidation zone
Long-term structural support
Historical re-entry area for long-term buyers
This is not certainty.
It’s structure — assuming no extreme black swan or regime shift.
🧩 The Real Takeaway Markets don’t repeat perfectly — but they rhyme often enough to matter.
Timing > conviction
Structure > headlines
Cycles > narratives
If the cycle holds, patience will outperform prediction.
💬 Serious question for smart money:
Does the 4-year Bitcoin cycle still rule in an ETF era…
or are we truly entering a new monetary regime?
— PROFITSPILOT25 Are You Buying With Me $BTC
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