The US Fed may sell dollars and buy Japanese yen â something that hasnât happened in this century.
Why this matters đ
The New York Fed has already done rate checks, which usually comes right before currency intervention.
If confirmed, it means the US and Japan could step in together.
This is rare â and historically very bullish for global markets đ
đŻđ” Why Japan is under pressure
âąYen has been weak for years
âąJapanese bond yields at multi-decade highs
âąBOJ still hawkish
Japan tried to defend the yen alone in 2022 & 2024 â it didnât last.
đ History is clear:
âąJapan alone â doesnât work
âąUS + Japan together â it works
Examples:
âą1998 Asian crisis
âą1985 Plaza Accord â Dollar dropped ~50% in 2 years
Result? Dollar down
Gold & commodities up
Non-US markets pumped
đŠ If the Fed intervenes, hereâs what happens:
âąFed sells dollars, buys yen
âąDollar weakens
âąGlobal liquidity increases
đ When the dollar is intentionally weakened, assets usually pump.
âż What about crypto?
âąBitcoin has a strong inverse link to the dollar
âąStrong positive link to the yen
âą$BTC -JPY correlation is near record highs
â ïž But thereâs a catchâŠ
â ïž Short-term risk
There are hundreds of billions in the yen carry trade:
âąBorrow cheap yen
âąInvest in stocks & crypto
âąIf yen strengthens fast â forced selling.
đ Example:
âąAug 2024 BOJ hike
âą$BTC dropped $64K â $49K in 6 days
âąCrypto lost $600B
đ Yen strength = short-term pain
đ Dollar weakness = long-term gain
đ Why this is still bullish
Bitcoin is still below its 2025 peak
It hasnât fully priced in currency debasement
If the dollar weakens: đž Capital looks for undervalued assets
đ Historically, crypto benefits the most
đ This could be one of the most important macro setups of 2026
Source: Bull Theory on X
