đš FOMC in some minutes
Rates are expected to stay unchanged (â99% probability), but thatâs not the risk.
Markets already know the decision.
Volatility comes from:
1.Powellâs tone
2.Forward guidance
3.Any hint on when cuts start, not if.
With inflation at 1.16% vs 2% target, expectations are stretched.
Key rule: đ The bigger the expectations, the bigger the reaction.
This wonât be about pumping or dumping on the headline.
Itâll be about whether the Fed confirms or pushes back on
what markets have already priced in.
Watch the reaction â not the prediction.