๐Ÿšจ POWELL | Key #fomc Takeaways ๐Ÿ‘‡

โ€ข No oneโ€™s base case is a rate hike, hikes are off the table

โ€ข Inflation still elevated; Core PCE near 3%

โ€ข Most of the inflation overshoot is from tariffs, not demand

โ€ข Core PCE ex-tariffs running just above 2%

โ€ข Tariffs are a one-time price shock

โ€ข Tariff-driven inflation expected to peak and fade (around mid-2026)

โ€ข If inflation cools, the Fed can loosen policy

โ€ข U.S. debt path is unsustainable, Powell warns

โ€ข Policy remains โ€œappropriateโ€ for now, decisions meeting-by-meeting

โ€ข Fed not reading much into goldโ€™s price surge

This was quietly dovishโ€ฆ with a warning label on U.S. debt. ๐Ÿ‘€

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