๐จ POWELL | Key #fomc Takeaways ๐
โข No oneโs base case is a rate hike, hikes are off the table
โข Inflation still elevated; Core PCE near 3%
โข Most of the inflation overshoot is from tariffs, not demand
โข Core PCE ex-tariffs running just above 2%
โข Tariffs are a one-time price shock
โข Tariff-driven inflation expected to peak and fade (around mid-2026)
โข If inflation cools, the Fed can loosen policy
โข U.S. debt path is unsustainable, Powell warns
โข Policy remains โappropriateโ for now, decisions meeting-by-meeting
โข Fed not reading much into goldโs price surge
This was quietly dovishโฆ with a warning label on U.S. debt. ๐
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