đ What the Chart Is Clearly Showing
1ïžâŁ Market Structure
BTC was distributing near 84,000 (range + rejection zone)
Multiple lower highs formed â smart money exit
Once 83,500â83,000 support broke, price entered free fall mode
đ This is a classic distribution â breakdown â liquidation cascade
2ïžâŁ Momentum & Volatility
The drop from ~83,000 â 77,000 is high momentum
Sharp wicks near the bottom = forced liquidations
No proper base formed yet â selling pressure not fully exhausted
This is NOT a healthy pullback, this is a panic move
3ïžâŁ Key Levels (Very Important)
đŽ Major Resistance Zones
80,800 â 81,200 â first supply
82,800 â 83,200 â breakdown zone (strong sell if revisited)
84,000 â macro rejection top
đą Major Support Zones
77,000 â 76,500 â current demand (weak, but reactive)
75,800 â 75,200 â next liquidity pocket
72,000 â 73,000 â BIG HTF demand (if panic continues)
đ§ Market Psychology Right Now
Late longs are trapped above
Bears are in control short-term
Smart money will either:
Accumulate slowly below 76k
OR run one more stop-hunt lower before bounce
đź BTC Price Prediction (High-Probability Scenarios)
đĄ Scenario 1: Dead Cat Bounce (Most Likely â 60%)
BTC bounces to 79,500 â 80,500
Gets hard rejected
Then retests 76k or lower
đ Best for: Scalp shorts / sell on pullback
đą Scenario 2: Range Formation (25%)
Price holds 76.5k
Consolidates between 76k â 79k
Builds base for a later move
đ Best for: Quick scalps only, no swing longs
đŽ Scenario 3: Capitulation Flush (15%)
Support fails at 76k
Fast dump to 73k â 72k
Massive wick â reversal later
đ This would be the best long opportunity, but only AFTER confirmation
đĄ Trading Plan (Practical & Safe)
â What NOT to do
No blind longs right now
No revenge trading
No holding scalps overnight
â What TO do
Sell pullbacks below 81k
Wait for clear structure shift before longing
Use tight SLs, volatility is extreme
đ§ Bias Summary
Short-term: đŽ Bearish
Intraday: â ïž Volatile, sell rallies
Mid-term: đĄ Neutral until 72kâ75k reaction
