The time-cycle theory (363â406 days from ATH to bottom) is interesting.
And yes â $45Kâ$50K is possible.
But hereâs what most traders ignore:
This cycle is different.
We now have: âą Spot ETFs
âą Institutional flows
âą Stronger global adoption
Bitcoin doesnât move only on halving symmetry anymore.
It moves on liquidity + macro + capital flows.
Waiting for the âperfectâ $35Kâ$45K entry could mean missing the move entirely.
History rhymes â but it doesnât copy-paste.
đ My view:
Scale in during weakness.
Donât anchor to one price or one date.
Whatâs your bottom target for this cycle? đ