ETF Outflows: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.13B net outflows over three days, hitting institutional sentiment.

 

Price Action: BTC holds $90K support despite heavy redemptions from BlackRock and Fidelity funds.

 

Technicals: RSI at 40 indicates neutral momentum; MACD shows bearish bias with resistance at $95K.

 

Market Outlook: Tactical de-risking driven by Fed policy shifts and profit-taking at historical highs.

 

Market Status

 

BTC is currently trading at $90,487.55, reflecting a minor 24-hour decline of 0.23% and a 7-day decrease of 0.11%.

 

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a massive capital flight of approximately $1.13 billion between January 6 and January 8, 2026.

 

Daily net outflows peaked at $486.1 million on January 7, the highest single-day withdrawal since late 2025, led by BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC.

 

Despite the outflows, Bitcoin maintains a dominant market cap of $1.81 trillion, representing 58.76% of the total crypto market.

 

Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy

 

Key support is firmly established at the $90,000 psychological level, while the $95,000 zone remains a formidable resistance barrier.

 

Technical indicators show a bearish bias; the MACD has completed a bearish crossover, and the RSI at 40 suggests neutral to slightly oversold conditions.

 

Bollinger Bands indicate a min-bearish change of -2.7%, suggesting potential volatility if the $90K floor is breached.

 

Trading Recommendation: Consider "buying the dip" in the $88,000–$90,000 range with a strict 5% stop-loss; target a rebound toward $94,000 if ETF outflows stabilize.

 

Volume-to-market cap ratio stands at 0.021, indicating steady but cautious trading activity during this consolidation phase.

 

Core Driving Factors

 

Institutional profit-taking at the $95,000 resistance level has triggered a "tactical pause" in the early 2026 bull run.

 

Shifting Federal Reserve expectations, fueled by strong U.S. employment data, have reduced the likelihood of immediate rate cuts, favoring Treasury yields over risk assets.

 

Geopolitical tensions and trade disputes have prompted a flight to traditional safe havens like gold, impacting Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative.

 

Rumors of large-scale government BTC movements, including a Satoshi-era miner moving 2,000 BTC today, have added temporary supply-side pressure [🔗].

 

Smart Money Flow

 

The whale long/short ratio has dropped to 0.35, indicating a significant bearish tilt among large-scale futures traders.

 

Short-positioned whales are currently in profit with an average entry price of $96,687, well above the current market price.

 

Long-positioned whales (average entry $91,063) are facing slight floating losses, which may lead to further liquidations if $90K fails to hold.

 

Top Trader activity shows a net "sell" bias in recent 1-hour windows, with sell volumes frequently outpacing buy volumes by over 50%.

 

Risk Warning

 

The Fear & Greed Index has retreated to 40 (Neutral), signaling a sharp cooling of the "extreme greed" seen at the start of the year.

 

High-beta rotation is evident as capital exiting BTC ETFs appears to be flowing into altcoins like Solana (SOL), potentially draining Bitcoin's immediate liquidity.

 #BTCè”°ćŠżćˆ†æž #BTC $BTC

 

⚠ Disclaimer: This information is based on community discussions and has not been verified against official Binance sources. Please check Binance's official announcements and documentation for the most accurate and up-to-date information.